Carmarthenshire Crime Rate November 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Carmarthenshire recorded 6.7 crimes per 1,000 residents in November 2024, placing it 11.8% below the UK average of 7.6. This overall rate masks significant variation in crime types, with violence and sexual offences emerging as a striking outlier. At 3.3 per 1,000 residents, this category was 28% above the UK average, contributing nearly half (49.5%) of all recorded crimes. The dominance of violent crime contrasts with several categories that performed better than national figures, including anti-social behaviour (55% below UK average) and shoplifting (57% below UK average). Seasonal factors may influence these patterns, with November's dark evenings and Bonfire Night potentially amplifying incidents of violence and public disorder. Conversely, the sharp decline in shoplifting could reflect reduced foot traffic following Black Friday. The area's mix of rural and urban landscapes may contribute to this complex profile, with densely populated centres seeing higher rates of violent crime while more isolated areas experience lower property crime rates. This suggests a need for differentiated policing strategies that account for both urban and rural dynamics within the district.

November 2024 saw dramatic fluctuations in specific crime categories, with bicycle theft surging by 400% (from 1 to 5 incidents) and theft from the person increasing by 83.3% (from 6 to 11). These spikes, though small in absolute terms, highlight vulnerabilities in personal security during the month's darker evenings. Meanwhile, burglary decreased by 30.4% (from 56 to 39), aligning with broader trends of reduced property crime across the area. This decline may be partly attributed to improved lighting in rural areas following recent infrastructure upgrades. The contrast between violent crime (up 28% above UK average) and anti-social behaviour (55% below UK average) underscores a paradox: while aggression and sexual offences rose, incidents of disruptive but non-violent conduct fell sharply. For residents, the most immediately relevant statistic is the 57% reduction in shoplifting compared to the UK average, which may ease concerns for retail workers during the post-Black Friday lull. However, the 28% increase in violence and sexual offences deserves closer attention, particularly in areas with higher concentrations of younger residents.

Carmarthenshire's crime rate in November 2024 (6.7 per 1,000) represented a 7.6% decline from the previous month's rate of 7.3, continuing a downward trend that began in early 2024. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 43 crimes per day, a figure that translates to one reported crime for roughly every 149 residents over the course of the month. This monthly exposure rate is lower than the UK average, which would equate to one crime for every 131 residents in a similar-sized area. The population context reveals that Carmarthenshire's 190,800 residents saw a total of 1,284 crimes, with violent offences accounting for nearly half of all incidents. This suggests that while the area as a whole is safer than the UK average, certain pockets may be experiencing disproportionate challenges. The 30.4% drop in burglary compared to October 2024, coupled with the 57% gap below the UK average for shoplifting, indicates that property crime prevention efforts may be yielding results. However, the persistent 28% gap above the UK average for violence and sexual offences highlights a critical area for targeted intervention, particularly as November's shorter days and seasonal events may exacerbate existing vulnerabilities.