Carmarthenshire Crime Rate October 2024 | Monthly Statistics

In October 2024, Carmarthenshire's overall crime rate stood at 7.3 per 1,000 residents, placing it 9.9% below the UK average of 8.1. This figure, while lower than the national benchmark, was driven by a pronounced imbalance between violent and property crimes. Violence and sexual offences accounted for nearly half (49.7%) of all reported crimes, a stark contrast to the 26.1% share attributed to property crimes. This dominance of violent crime, particularly in categories such as criminal damage and arson (9.3% of total crimes), may be consistent with seasonal factors like darker evenings and the timing of Halloween, which often coincide with increased public disorder. Anti-social behaviour, though a significant concern in some areas, was 53% below the UK average, a figure that could reflect effective local policing or community initiatives. The seasonal context of October—marked by the clocks going back and shorter daylight hours—may partly explain the higher prevalence of violent crime, as reduced visibility and increased indoor activity can contribute to heightened tensions. However, direct causal links; instead, it suggests a combination of environmental and social factors that warrant further analysis. For a rural area with a diverse mix of coastal and inland communities, the crime profile appears to be shaped by both local characteristics and broader national trends.

October 2024 saw a stark contrast in crime dynamics, with violent crimes (690) outnumbering property crimes (363) by nearly two to one. This imbalance, while not uncommon in urban areas, is notable in Carmarthenshire, a largely rural district with a mix of coastal and inland communities. The most significant month-on-month change was a 100% increase in theft from the person, rising from three to six incidents—a figure that could indicate heightened vulnerability during Halloween or other seasonal events. Meanwhile, burglary increased by 30.2%, potentially linked to colder weather and increased home occupancy during October. Conversely, vehicle crime dropped by 20%, due to reduced traffic or seasonal shifts in criminal activity. Violent crimes, at 3.6 per 1,000, were 35% above the UK average, while anti-social behaviour was 53% below, suggesting a combination of local community responses and broader crime trends.

Carmarthenshire's crime rate in October 2024 rose by 10.0% compared to the previous month, moving from 6.6 to 7.3 per 1,000 residents. This increase, though modest, reflects a shift in crime patterns as the area transitions into darker evenings and seasonal events like Halloween. On a daily basis, the local figure stands at approximately 45 crimes per day, highlighting the consistent presence of criminal activity. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 137 residents, a figure that contextualises the monthly exposure for the population of 190,800. This rate, while slightly below the UK average, suggests that local factors—such as community engagement or policing strategies—may contribute to the lower-than-expected crime levels. The population-scaled perspective reveals that while the overall rate is manageable, the concentration of violent crimes remains a focal point for local authorities.