Carmarthenshire Crime Rate February 2025 | Monthly Statistics

For the average resident of Carmarthenshire, the risk of encountering crime in February 2025 translates to a 1-in-151 chance of experiencing a reported incident over the course of the month. This rate of 6.6 crimes per 1,000 residents places the area 1.5% below the UK average of 6.7 per 1,000, reflecting a marginally safer environment compared to the national picture. The most prevalent crime type was violence and sexual offences, which accounted for 43.7% of all incidents—nearly double the UK average for this category. This concentration of violent crime may partly explain the area's overall rate, given the direct impact such offences have on personal safety. Seasonal factors likely contribute to this pattern, as February's low outdoor activity and pre-spring lull could influence both perpetrator and victim behaviour. Property crimes, while lower than violent offences, remained a persistent concern, with criminal damage and arson making up 10.7% of all incidents. Shoplifting rates rose significantly compared to the UK average, linked to local retail patterns or seasonal shopping activity. The data suggests a combination of community dynamics, local infrastructure, and broader socioeconomic factors from this snapshot alone. Residents should remain vigilant, particularly in areas with high foot traffic or commercial activity, where the risk of encountering violent or property-related crime remains elevated.

February 2025 saw a 400% surge in theft from the person, rising from 1 to 5 incidents—a figure that may concern residents frequenting public spaces. Concurrently, shoplifting increased by 107.1%, with 87 incidents reported compared to 42 in January, potentially reflecting pre-spring retail activity or shifts in consumer behaviour. In contrast, bicycle theft plummeted by 71.4%, falling from 7 to 2 cases—a drop that could align with colder weather reducing outdoor activity. Other notable trends include a 93.8% rise in 'other crime' incidents, which may encompass a range of unclassified offences, and a 19.2% decrease in public order offences, linked to reduced social gatherings during the winter months. Violence and sexual offences remained high, at 23% above the UK average, while anti-social behaviour was 59% below national levels—suggesting effective community policing or social cohesion efforts. These fluctuations highlight the dynamic nature of local crime patterns, with some categories showing marked divergence from national trends. Residents might find the 19.2% reduction in public order offences particularly reassuring, though the sharp rise in theft from the person underscores the need for continued vigilance in high-risk areas.

The crime rate in Carmarthenshire rose by 5.7% from January 2025's 6.3 per 1,000 to February's 6.6 per 1,000, reflecting a slight upward trend despite remaining below the UK average. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 45 crimes per day in February—a figure that, while seemingly high, translates to a manageable level when considered against the population of 190,800. Over the course of the month, the 1-in-151 resident exposure rate indicates that most residents will not encounter crime, though those in high-risk areas may face higher probabilities. This monthly aggregate contrasts with the UK's broader context, where Carmarthenshire's violence and sexual offence rates are elevated. However, the area's performance in categories like anti-social behaviour and vehicle crime—46% and 59% below UK averages respectively—suggests effective local interventions or demographic factors that mitigate certain types of crime. The 5.7% increase from January may be attributed to seasonal transitions, with colder weather influencing crime dynamics. While the overall rate remains modest compared to national figures, the variations across crime types highlight the importance of targeted community engagement and policing strategies to address specific risks while maintaining the area's generally lower crime profile.