Carmarthenshire Crime Rate July 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Carmarthenshire’s crime profile in July 2025 reveals a distinct emphasis on violent and sexual offences, which accounted for 46% of all recorded crimes, significantly outpacing the UK average. This imbalance suggests that the area’s crime dynamics are shaped by factors such as population density, seasonal activity, and local social patterns. The overall crime rate of 8.1 per 1,000 residents placed the area 5.8% below the UK average, a figure that, while modest, highlights the effectiveness of local policing or community initiatives in mitigating criminal activity. The prominence of violence and sexual offences, coupled with a 22% higher rate than the UK average for this category, may be influenced by the summer season, when increased social interaction and outdoor events could contribute to higher incidents. Anti-social behaviour, though lower than the UK average by 35%, saw a notable rise, linked to the influx of tourists and the associated pressures on local infrastructure. Meanwhile, property crimes such as shoplifting and vehicle theft remained well below the UK average, with shoplifting 54% lower than national figures. This contrast could indicate a combination of effective retail security measures and a lower prevalence of opportunistic theft in the area. The seasonal context of July—characterised by school holidays, festivals, and peak tourism—likely plays a role in shaping these patterns, as increased foot traffic and events may both drive certain types of crime and provide opportunities for law enforcement to intervene.

July 2025 saw a 100% increase in robbery cases, rising from 4 to 8 incidents, a sharp contrast to the 44.4% decline in bicycle theft, which fell from 9 to 5. Anti-social behaviour also rose by 16%, moving from 162 to 188 cases, while public order offences surged by 28.9%, climbing from 114 to 147. These shifts highlight a growing emphasis on violent and disruptive crimes over property-related offences. Violence and sexual offences dominated the crime mix, making up 46% of all reported crimes, a rate 22% above the UK average. Conversely, shoplifting dropped significantly, with a 54% deficit compared to the UK average. This divergence in crime trends may reflect seasonal factors, such as increased tourism and outdoor events during the summer, which could contribute to higher incidents of public disorder and personal crimes.

Carmarthenshire's crime rate in July 2025 rose by 6.5% compared to June's 7.6 per 1,000, reflecting a slight upward trend. Daily crime activity averaged 50 reported incidents, a figure that contextualises the pace of criminal activity within the local area. Over the course of the month, 1 in every 124 residents experienced a reported crime, a metric that underscores the frequency of incidents relative to the population. This monthly exposure rate, while lower than some urban counterparts, remains a tangible reminder of the need for community vigilance. The population context further illustrates that Carmarthenshire’s 190,800 residents face a crime environment shaped by both local dynamics and broader regional patterns. The increase in violent crimes and public order offences, coupled with a decrease in shoplifting, suggests shifting priorities among offenders, possibly influenced by seasonal factors such as festivals and increased foot traffic during the summer months.