Carmarthenshire Crime Rate June 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Carmarthenshire's crime rate in June 2025 stood at 7.6 per 1,000 residents, 6.2% below the UK average of 8.1. This position places the district in a stronger comparative standing than much of the country, though local dynamics reveal a complex picture. Violence and sexual offences dominated the crime profile, accounting for 46.6% of all reported incidents, a rate of 3.5 per 1,000 that is 22% above the national average. This disparity may reflect the area's social composition, with rural and semi-urban communities often experiencing higher levels of interpersonal crime due to closer-knit social networks and limited anonymity. Anti-social behaviour, at 0.9 per 1,000, was 37% below the UK average, a notable contrast that could indicate effective local initiatives or differences in reporting practices. The seasonal context of June—marking the start of summer and the beginning of the tourist season in coastal areas—may have influenced crime patterns, with increased foot traffic affecting both violent and property crime rates. However, the district's property crime rate, at 0.7 per 1,000 for criminal damage and arson, was 21% above the UK average, suggesting vulnerabilities in infrastructure or enforcement that warrant closer examination. As the summer progresses, continued monitoring of these trends will be critical to understanding how seasonal shifts impact local crime profiles.

June 2025 saw significant shifts in crime patterns, with robbery incidents doubling from 2 to 4, a 100% increase. This spike, though small in absolute terms, may partly explain the rise in violent crime rates. Possession of weapons rose by 60%, from 10 to 16, suggesting potential changes in local activity or enforcement focus. Bicycle theft also increased by 50%, from 6 to 9, a trend that may reflect seasonal cycling activity as summer begins. Conversely, anti-social behaviour fell by 5.3%, from 171 to 162, due to improved community engagement or weather-related shifts in public behaviour. The category of violent crime stood 22% above the UK average, with 3.5 per 1,000 residents, a stark contrast to the 2.9 per 1,000 national figure. Meanwhile, vehicle crime remained 46% below the UK average, a consistent strength for the area that may relate to lower urban density or effective local policing strategies.

Carmarthenshire's crime rate in June 2025 rose 9.4% from the previous month, moving from 6.9 to 7.6 per 1,000 residents. This increase, though modest, aligns with seasonal patterns typical of early summer in the area. Locally, 48 crimes were reported daily on average, a figure that contextualises the pace of incidents within the district's population of 190,800. Over the course of June, one crime was reported for every 132 residents, a monthly aggregate that highlights the distribution of incidents across the community. When viewed against the UK average of 8.1 per 1,000, Carmarthenshire's rate remains 6.2% lower, a consistent trend that reflects broader regional differences in policing and community dynamics. The population-scaled perspective reveals that while the rate has risen, the overall burden of crime per resident remains below national benchmarks, suggesting targeted local efforts may be sustaining this gap.