Carmarthenshire Crime Rate May 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Carmarthenshire's crime rate in May 2025 stood at 6.9 per 1,000 residents, marking a 14.8% reduction compared to the UK average of 8.1 per 1,000. This figure, while lower than the national benchmark, reflects a combination of local factors and broader trends. The most prevalent crime category was violence and sexual offences, which accounted for 44.1% of all reported incidents. This was followed by anti-social behaviour (13.0%) and criminal damage and arson (9.9%), illustrating a pattern where interpersonal and property-related crimes dominate the local crime profile. The seasonal context of May—characterised by longer evenings, increased outdoor activity, and bank holidays—likely contributed to shifts in crime patterns. For instance, the rise in shoplifting and vehicle crime may be partly explained by heightened foot traffic and socialising, while the decline in robbery and theft from the person could be linked to increased community presence during public events. Despite the overall reduction, the rate of violence and sexual offences remaining 10% above the UK average suggests targeted interventions may be necessary. The area's relatively low crime rates compared to the UK, combined with its unique demographic and geographic profile, indicate that localised efforts to address specific crime types could further enhance safety. However, the sharp increase in shoplifting and the persistent above-average rate of violent crime highlight the need for continued monitoring and adaptation of crime prevention strategies.

May 2025 saw a sharp 59.5% increase in shoplifting, with incidents rising from 42 to 67. This surge, though notable, remains 40% below the UK average of 0.7 per 1,000, suggesting local factors may be at play. Concurrently, vehicle crime rose by 12.5% (24 to 27), though it remained 75% below the UK average, reflecting the area's generally lower exposure to such crimes. On the other hand, robbery and theft from the person both declined by 33.3%, with the latter dropping from 9 to 6—a reduction that aligns with the broader 4.4% monthly decrease in overall crime rates. Violence and sexual offences, which accounted for 44.1% of all crimes, were 10% above the UK average (2.8 per 1,000), highlighting a localised challenge in this category. These shifts illustrate a mixed picture: while some categories are trending upwards, others are showing marked declines that may reflect seasonal factors such as May's bank holidays and increased outdoor activity.

Carmarthenshire's crime rate in May 2025 fell by 4.4% compared to April 2025, marking a continuation of the downward trend observed over recent months. With 1319 crimes reported, the average daily crime count stood at approximately 43 crimes per day—a figure that, while significant, reflects the area's broader context of relatively lower crime rates compared to the UK average. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 145 residents, a monthly exposure rate that underscores the area's generally safer profile compared to national standards. The population of 190,800 further contextualises these figures, showing that the crime rate remains proportionally low despite the total number of incidents. This decrease aligns with seasonal patterns, as May's longer evenings and bank holidays may have encouraged more community engagement or reduced opportunities for certain types of crime. The population-scaled perspective also highlights that Carmarthenshire's crime prevention efforts may be contributing to sustained reductions, even as specific categories like shoplifting see sharp increases.