Carmarthenshire Crime Rate June 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Carmarthenshire’s crime rate in June 2025 stood at 7.6 per 1,000 residents, placing it 6.2% below the UK average of 8.1. This position, while positive, masks a complex distribution of crime types that reflects the area’s unique social and geographic profile. Violence and sexual offences accounted for 46.6% of all reported crimes, significantly higher than the UK average of 2.9 per 1,000. This concentration may be tied to the area’s mix of urban and rural environments, where community tensions or targeted policing efforts could influence reporting patterns. Anti-social behaviour, at 0.9 per 1,000, was 37% below the UK average, suggesting effective local initiatives or a lower prevalence of such incidents. The seasonal context of June—as the start of summer and a period of increased tourism—may also contribute to the crime picture. For instance, the 3.5 per 1,000 rate for violence and sexual offences could be partially explained by higher foot traffic in public spaces or events. However, the area’s performance in other categories, such as shoplifting (37% below UK average) and vehicle crime (46% below), indicates a lower incidence of certain crimes, due to its rural nature and lower population density. These contrasts highlight the need to consider both local and national factors when interpreting crime statistics.

June 2025 saw a sharp 100% increase in robbery cases, rising from 2 to 4 incidents. This spike, though small in absolute terms, may be linked to heightened summer activity in public spaces. Possession of weapons also rose by 60%, from 10 to 16 cases, a trend that could reflect increased policing or seasonal shifts in criminal behaviour. In contrast, other crime fell by 18.4% (38 to 31), and anti-social behaviour dropped by 5.3% (171 to 162), due to targeted interventions or changes in community engagement. Carmarthenshire’s violent crime rate—3.5 per 1,000—exceeds the UK average by 22%, highlighting a key divergence in crime patterns. Meanwhile, shoplifting and vehicle crime remain well below national levels, with the latter 46% lower than the UK average, due to the area’s rural character and lower population density.

Carmarthenshire's crime rate in June 2025 rose 9.4% from the previous month, moving from 6.9 to 7.6 per 1,000 residents. This increase, though modest, contrasts with the area’s overall position 6.2% below the UK average. Locally, 48 crimes were reported daily in June, a figure that contextualises the density of incidents within the region’s population of 190,800. Over the course of the month, one crime was reported for every 132 residents, a ratio that reflects both the scale of activity and the area’s geographic spread. While the rise in June may be influenced by seasonal patterns—such as increased foot traffic during the early summer months—this does not fully offset Carmarthenshire’s consistent performance relative to the UK. The local context, including the mix of rural and urban landscapes, may also contribute to variations in crime distribution, though this remains an area for further observation.