Carmarthenshire Crime Rate November 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Carmarthenshire's crime rate in November 2025 stood at 6.5 per 1,000 residents, placing it 11% below the UK average of 7.3 per 1,000. This overall figure masks a complex distribution of crime types, with violence and sexual offences dominating the landscape. These incidents accounted for 47.3% of all crimes reported, significantly outpacing the UK average for this category by 21%. The high prevalence of violent crime may reflect local factors, such as the area's demographic profile or the presence of high-traffic zones where interpersonal conflicts are more likely to occur. Anti-social behaviour and criminal damage followed as the second and third most common categories, respectively, with the latter 13% above the UK average. The seasonal context of November—marked by dark evenings, Bonfire Night, and the Black Friday shopping rush—likely contributes to these patterns. For instance, the increased frequency of violent incidents may be partly explained by the reduced visibility and heightened tension associated with shorter daylight hours. Similarly, the rise in shoplifting could be attributed to the surge in retail activity, although Carmarthenshire's rate for this category remains 52% below the UK average. The interplay between local conditions and broader national trends illustrates the nuanced nature of crime patterns in the area, where certain categories deviate sharply from the norm despite an overall lower rate.

November 2025 saw a 100% increase in bicycle theft compared to the previous month, with the category rising from 5 to 10 incidents. This spike aligns with the timing of Bonfire Night, a period when outdoor activities may increase the visibility of bikes in public spaces. Shoplifting also rose sharply by 34.8%, from 46 to 62 cases, potentially linked to the Black Friday shopping surge. Conversely, vehicle crime fell by 23.3%, dropping from 30 to 23 incidents, which may reflect reduced car usage during the holiday season or increased security measures in retail areas. The category of violence and sexual offences stood out as 21% above the UK average, a disparity that contrasts with the area's overall lower crime rate. This suggests local factors, such as demographic characteristics or social dynamics, may be influencing this specific category. Residents might find the 100% increase in bicycle theft particularly noteworthy, as it indicates a clear seasonal vulnerability.

Carmarthenshire's crime rate in November 2025 remained stable at 6.5 per 1,000 residents, matching the previous month's figure. This consistency contrasts with broader UK trends, where the area's overall rate is 11% below the national average. Daily crime figures show 41 crimes reported each day, a metric that highlights the frequency of incidents in a local context. Over the course of the month, one crime was reported for roughly every 154 residents, a figure that contextualises the scale of crime within the area's population. While the rate has not shifted significantly compared to the prior month, the distribution of crime types reveals notable contrasts with the UK average. For instance, the high proportion of violence and sexual offences—21% above the UK average—suggests local factors that may influence this category. The population context, with 190,800 residents, underscores that even modest changes in crime rates can translate to measurable differences in community safety.