Carmarthenshire Crime Rate October 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Carmarthenshire’s crime rate in October 2025 remained 15.6% below the UK average at 6.5 per 1,000, reflecting a relatively safe environment compared to national trends. The crime profile was dominated by violent offences, which accounted for 45.3% of all incidents, far exceeding property crimes (27.6%). Violence and sexual offences alone made up nearly half of reported crimes, with 564 cases recorded, while property crimes totaled 344. This stark contrast between violent and property crime suggests a focus on interpersonal conflict or public order issues, potentially influenced by seasonal factors such as the transition to darker evenings and Halloween activities. The area’s crime picture appears to be shaped by its mix of urban and rural characteristics, where violent crime may be more prevalent in populated centres, while property crime remains lower than the UK average. Anti-social behaviour, at 0.8 per 1,000, was 37% below the UK average, indicating effective community management or lower levels of disruptive activity. Criminal damage and arson, however, were 25% above the UK rate, pointing to potential vulnerabilities in certain areas. October’s seasonal context—shorter days, Halloween, and the clocks going back—may have influenced patterns, with violent crimes likely increasing due to reduced visibility and increased social gatherings. The relatively low rate of vehicle crime (0.2 per 1,000) and shoplifting (0.2 per 1,000), both significantly below UK averages, suggests that local efforts in securing transport and retail spaces may be effective. However, the sharp rise in theft from the person and robbery, though not yet reflected in the overall rate, highlights a growing concern that may require targeted interventions. The data underscores the importance of balancing vigilance against violent crime with continued measures to prevent property-related offences, particularly as the area navigates seasonal shifts.

Violent crimes dominated October’s crime profile, making up 45.3% of total incidents, compared to property crimes at 27.6%. This imbalance suggests a focus on interpersonal conflict or public order issues, potentially linked to seasonal factors like Halloween. Theft from the person surged by 250% (2 to 7 cases), a sharp increase that may reflect heightened activity in high-traffic areas or during trick-or-treat events. Conversely, vehicle crime fell by 21.1% (38 to 30), due to reduced daylight hours deterring such offences. Violent crime rates in Carmarthenshire (3.0 per 1,000) are 13% above the UK average, while anti-social behaviour rates are 37% below (0.8 vs 1.3 per 1,000). This contrast highlights the area’s unique crime profile, where public order issues are less prevalent than in other regions. Residents may find the drop in vehicle crime reassuring, though the rise in personal thefts warrants attention.

Carmarthenshire’s crime rate in October 2025 rose 8.1% compared to September’s 6.0 per 1,000, reaching 6.5 per 1,000. This increase, though modest, suggests a shift in local dynamics. On average, 40 crimes were reported daily, a figure that contextualises the pace of incidents for residents. Over the course of the month, one crime occurred for roughly every 153 residents, a monthly exposure rate that remains lower than the UK average but reflects a slight upward trend. Population context shows that with 190,800 residents, the area’s crime profile balances urban and rural characteristics, where property crime and violent crime each hold distinct roles. The rise in violent crime, particularly theft from the person and robbery, may partly explain the monthly increase, though other factors such as seasonal transitions and local events could also contribute. This data underscores the need for residents to remain vigilant during darker evenings, a pattern consistent with October’s shorter daylight hours and Halloween-related activity.