Carmarthenshire Crime Rate November 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Violence and sexual offences dominate Carmarthenshire's crime profile in November 2025, accounting for 47.3% of all reported incidents. At 3.1 per 1,000 residents, this category exceeds the UK average by 21%, marking a stark outlier in an area where the overall crime rate of 6.5 per 1,000 is 11% below the national figure. The high proportion of violent crime contrasts with the UK average, where such offences make up 21% of total crimes. This imbalance may reflect local factors such as the area's mix of rural and urban communities, where seasonal pressures like Bonfire Night and the early onset of winter darkness could amplify tensions in smaller, more closely-knit neighbourhoods. Anti-social behaviour, the second most common crime category (11.6% of total), is 25% below the UK average, suggesting a relatively stable social environment despite the elevated violence rates. The seasonal context of November—marked by Black Friday shopping, the approach of Christmas, and prolonged darkness—may contribute to the disproportionate share of violent crime. Property crimes, including burglary and vehicle crime, collectively account for just 22% of all incidents, a lower share than the UK average, indicating a possible focus on interpersonal rather than material crime in this region. The data also shows a notable absence of theft from the person, with rates 100% below the UK average, reflecting lower foot traffic in retail areas during this time of year.

November 2025 saw a 100% increase in bicycle theft compared to the previous month, with incidents rising from 5 to 10. This sharp spike aligns with the seasonal context of darker evenings and the proximity to Christmas, which may have prompted opportunistic thefts in less lit areas. Shoplifting also rose by 34.8%, jumping from 46 to 62 incidents, though Carmarthenshire's rate of 0.3 per 1,000 remains 52% below the UK average—a contrast that may reflect the area's lower footfall in retail zones compared to major urban centres. Conversely, vehicle crime fell by 23.3%, with reported incidents dropping from 30 to 23, due to reduced parking congestion during the month. The most significant UK comparison anomaly lies in the 26% shortfall for drug-related crimes, where Carmarthenshire's rate of 0.2 per 1,000 is lower than the national average of 0.3 per 1,000. This could indicate either effective local policing or demographic factors that reduce drug-related activity in the region. Residents may find the 52% UK-wide deficit in shoplifting rates particularly relevant, as it suggests that local retail security measures or consumer behaviour patterns may be more effective than in other areas. Burglary rates also fell by 20.3% compared to October, though they remain in line with the UK average, highlighting a consistent trend in property crime prevention efforts.

Carmarthenshire's crime rate remained stable between October and November 2025, with the monthly rate holding at 6.5 per 1,000 residents—a 0.2% decrease from the previous month. This consistency suggests no major shifts in overall crime trends during the transition from autumn to winter. On a daily basis, the area recorded approximately 41 crimes per day in November, a figure that provides a concrete benchmark for local residents to contextualise their safety. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for every 154 residents, a monthly exposure rate that is 11% lower than the UK average. This statistic, while useful for understanding the scale of crime, should be interpreted as a monthly aggregate rather than a daily frequency. When viewed through the lens of Carmarthenshire's population of 190,800, the 1,242 total crimes reported in November represent a relatively low incidence of crime per capita. The area's performance in categories like shoplifting (52% below UK average) and vehicle crime (75% below UK average) further underscores its distinct position compared to other regions. These discrepancies may reflect a combination of geographic factors—such as the lower density of urban centres—and the effectiveness of local policing strategies in addressing specific crime types. The comparison to the UK average also highlights the importance of regional differences in crime patterns, which can be influenced by everything from community cohesion to economic conditions.