Carmarthenshire Crime Rate September 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Violence and sexual offences dominate Carmarthenshire’s crime profile in September 2025, accounting for nearly half (49.4%) of all reported crimes. This category’s rate of 3.0 per 1,000 residents exceeds the UK average of 2.6 per 1,000 by 16%, a disparity that may reflect local social dynamics or seasonal pressures. With an overall crime rate of 6.0 per 1,000 — 18.9% below the UK average of 7.4 — the area demonstrates a lower-than-national-level criminality, though the prominence of violent crime contrasts with the UK’s broader distribution. The seasonal context of September, marked by the return to school and university freshers, likely contributes to heightened interpersonal tensions and alcohol-related incidents in social hubs. Anti-social behaviour, while comprising only 8.7% of all crimes, remains significantly below the UK average (57% lower), suggesting a relatively stable community environment despite the high violent crime rate. Property crimes, though lower in proportion (26.9% of total crimes), still account for 311 reports, with criminal damage and arson at 9.9% of total crimes. This mix of crime types indicates a combination of individual-level violence and broader environmental factors, though the absence of high-level property crime trends suggests effective local policing or community engagement initiatives. The data also highlights a notable absence of theft from the person and bicycle theft, which may be attributed to improved security measures or demographic patterns in the area.

September 2025 saw a 12.9% decrease in Carmarthenshire’s overall crime rate compared to the previous month, falling from 6.9 to 6.0 per 1,000 residents. This decline is most pronounced in theft-related offences: theft from the person plummeted by 77.8% (from 9 to 2 reports), while bicycle theft dropped by 66.7% (from 9 to 3). These reductions may reflect heightened awareness during the back-to-school period or increased police presence in high-traffic areas. Conversely, vehicle crime rose by 15.2% (from 33 to 38 reports), a trend consistent with the start of the academic year and increased commuter activity. Other crime also increased by 14.8% (from 27 to 31 reports), though the nature of these incidents remains unclear without further breakdown. Carmarthenshire’s rate for anti-social behaviour is 57% below the UK average, a stark contrast to the 16% above average rate for violence and sexual offences. This divergence suggests that while violent crime remains a pressing concern, the area’s broader social fabric appears more resilient to disorderly conduct than the national average. The relatively low rates for drug-related offences (23% below UK average) and burglary (29% below UK average) further highlight the area’s distinct crime profile compared to other parts of the UK.

Carmarthenshire’s September 2025 crime rate of 6.0 per 1,000 residents represents a 12.9% decrease from the previous month’s rate of 6.9, indicating a sustained downward trend. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 38 crimes per day — a figure that, while seemingly high, must be contextualised within the local population of 190,800 residents. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 166 residents, a monthly exposure rate that places Carmarthenshire in the lower half of UK local authority districts. This statistic underscores the relative safety of the area compared to national benchmarks, though the prominence of violent crime remains a concern. The population-scaled perspective reveals that Carmarthenshire’s crime rate is 18.9% below the UK average, a difference that translates to approximately 115 fewer crimes per 100,000 residents than the national average. However, the local context of September — with its associated social pressures — highlights the need for targeted interventions in areas where violent crime is concentrated. The combination of lower overall crime rates and higher violent crime proportions suggests a unique challenge for local authorities: maintaining the gains in crime reduction while addressing the root causes of interpersonal violence in the community.