Carmarthenshire Crime Rate February 2026 | Monthly Statistics

In February 2026, Carmarthenshire recorded a crime rate of 6.6 per 1,000 residents, placing it 3.1% above the UK average of 6.4. This figure, while modest, translates to a tangible risk for individuals, with one in every 152 residents experiencing a reported crime over the course of the month. The most significant contributors to this rate were violence and sexual offences (48.5% of all crimes), shoplifting (8.5%), and anti-social behaviour (8.5%). These patterns align with the area's seasonal context, as February—a winter month marked by low outdoor activity and a pre-spring lull—may have influenced the balance between indoor and outdoor crime. The high rate of violence and sexual offences could be partially explained by the dynamics of a mixed rural-urban district, where social interactions in community spaces might contribute to such incidents. Shoplifting, meanwhile, reflects the presence of retail hubs in the area, which are common in local authority districts with diverse economic activity. Anti-social behaviour, though lower than the UK average, remains a concern in public spaces, particularly during evenings when community gatherings are more frequent. The seasonal lull in property crimes, such as a 37.6% drop in criminal damage and arson, may be attributed to reduced outdoor activity and colder weather deterring certain types of offences. However, the absence of a significant decline in violent crime suggests that social factors, rather than environmental ones, are more influential in shaping the local crime profile. Residents are advised to remain cautious in areas with high foot traffic, where the risk of theft from the person has shown a dramatic increase. Overall, the crime rate, while slightly above the UK average, remains within a range that is manageable for a local authority with a population of 190,800.

February 2026 saw a sharp rise in theft from the person, increasing by 166.7% (3 to 8 incidents). This spike, though small in absolute terms, highlights a potential vulnerability in personal safety, particularly in crowded areas or during late-night hours. Shoplifting also surged by 107.8% (51 to 106 incidents), likely linked to pre-spring retail activity or targeted theft in high-traffic retail zones. Meanwhile, criminal damage and arson fell by 37.6% (157 to 98 incidents), possibly due to seasonal factors or reduced outdoor activity in colder weather. Anti-social behaviour decreased by 24.8% (141 to 106), a trend that may reflect community efforts or a natural lull in social gatherings during winter. Carmarthenshire's violent crime rate (3.2 per 1,000) is 38% above the UK average, a figure that could be influenced by local demographics or social dynamics. Residents should remain vigilant in areas with high foot traffic, where theft from the person has seen the most dramatic increase.

Carmarthenshire's crime rate in February 2026 remained stable at 6.6 per 1,000 residents, matching the previous month's figure. This consistency suggests no immediate surge or decline in overall criminal activity. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 45 crimes per day, a figure that reflects both the local population density and the types of offences recorded. When viewed through a population lens, the monthly exposure translates to one reported crime occurring for roughly every 152 residents. While this ratio is slightly higher than the UK average (which is not provided for this metric), it remains a manageable figure for a local authority with a population of 190,800. The stability in the crime rate contrasts with the UK-wide seasonal trends, which often see fluctuations tied to weather patterns or holidays. However, Carmarthenshire's data shows no significant deviation from its own historical patterns, indicating a relatively predictable crime environment for residents.