Carmarthenshire Crime Rate January 2026 | Monthly Statistics

Carmarthenshire's crime rate in January 2026 stood at 6.6 per 1,000 residents, placing it 2.9% below the UK average of 6.8. This slight advantage nationally is offset by significant local challenges, particularly in violent crime categories. Violence and sexual offences accounted for 45% of all reported crimes, a rate 20% above the UK average, reflecting a pressing concern for residents. The seasonal context of January—marked by post-holiday activity, shorter daylight hours, and reduced retail footfall—may contribute to patterns seen in the data, such as the 43.9% increase in anti-social behaviour. While property crimes remained relatively low, the sharp rise in robbery and the prominence of violent incidents suggest a need for heightened awareness in community spaces. The breakdown of crimes shows a stark contrast between Carmarthenshire's violent crime trends and its performance in property-related offences, which are generally below the UK average. This disparity may be influenced by the area's mix of urban and rural characteristics, where densely populated zones could experience higher rates of interpersonal crime. The seasonal dip in outdoor activity may also explain lower rates of vehicle crime and bicycle theft, though these reductions should not overshadow the concerning upward trends in violent crime. Overall, the data underscores the importance of targeted policing and community engagement in addressing the specific challenges posed by rising violent crime and anti-social behaviour.

January 2026 saw a 100% increase in robbery cases, with three reported incidents—up from zero in the previous month. This spike, though small in absolute terms, highlights a potential shift in criminal activity patterns during the post-holiday period. Anti-social behaviour rose by 43.9%, with 141 incidents recorded, suggesting increased tensions or disruptions in community spaces. Meanwhile, the rate of violence and sexual offences—accounting for 45% of all crimes—was 20% above the UK average, a stark contrast to the 29% below average rate for burglary and vehicle crime. The sharp decline in bicycle theft (75% decrease) and drugs-related offences (13.5% drop) indicates possible seasonal factors, such as reduced outdoor activity and lower retail footfall, aligning with the post-holiday context. Residents should be particularly vigilant in areas experiencing spikes in violent crime, as these trends may reflect broader shifts in criminal behaviour.

Carmarthenshire's crime rate in January 2026 remained stable compared to December 2025, with a 1.4% increase from 6.5 to 6.6 per 1,000 residents. This consistency suggests no major shifts in overall crime trends during the month. On a daily basis, the area recorded approximately 40 crimes per day, a figure that reflects the local rhythm of activity and policing. Over the course of January, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 153 residents, a monthly exposure rate that underscores the frequency of incidents within the population. When viewed through the lens of population size, the 190,800 residents of Carmarthenshire experience crime at a rate that is 2.9% below the UK average, indicating a slightly safer environment relative to the national picture. However, this aggregate statistic masks variations in specific crime categories, which require closer examination to understand local dynamics.