Ceredigion Crime Rate November 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Ceredigion’s November 2023 crime rate of 5.7 per 1,000 residents places it 24% below the UK average of 7.5, a position that underscores the area’s relatively safe profile. This figure is driven by a mix of crime types, with violence and sexual offences accounting for nearly half (48.4%) of all reported incidents, though this category remains 8% above the UK average at 2.8 per 1,000. The persistent gap between Ceredigion’s overall rate and the UK average suggests a combination of factors, including the district’s rural nature, which may contribute to lower population density and a more community-focused approach to crime prevention. Seasonal context also plays a role, as November—a month marked by dark evenings, Black Friday shopping, and Bonfire Night—introduces variables that can influence crime patterns. For instance, the sharp increase in shoplifting (47.4%) may be directly tied to the surge in retail activity, while the significant drop in anti-social behaviour (52% below the UK average) could reflect the effectiveness of local initiatives or the natural behavior of a more tightly knit community. The data also reveals a stark contrast in specific crime categories: while violent crimes remain elevated relative to the UK average, property-related offences such as burglary and theft from the person are lower, with burglary at 71% below the national average. These disparities highlight the combination of local demographics, environmental factors, and policing strategies. The overall trend of decreasing crime rates, particularly in areas like anti-social behaviour and burglary, points to a sustained effort to address crime in a way that aligns with the district’s unique character. However, the rise in shoplifting and violent crimes during November serves as a reminder that even in relatively safe areas, targeted interventions and awareness campaigns remain essential, particularly during high-risk periods like the holiday season.

November 2023 saw a notable 47.4% increase in shoplifting incidents, rising from 19 to 28, a trend likely linked to the Black Friday shopping period. This spike in retail-related crimes highlights the vulnerability of businesses and consumers during high-traffic periods. Conversely, theft from the person fell by 50%, from 2 to 1, a decline that may be attributed to heightened awareness during darker evenings. Violent crimes, which accounted for 48.4% of all incidents, remain 8% above the UK average at 2.8 per 1,000, suggesting that local dynamics—such as seasonal social interactions or community tensions—may influence this category. Anti-social behaviour, however, decreased sharply, aligning with the 52% deficit compared to the UK average. This contrast illustrates the area’s unique profile: while retail-focused crimes may surge during peak shopping times, sustained reductions in anti-social incidents could reflect the effectiveness of local policing strategies or community engagement efforts. For residents, the rise in shoplifting underscores the need for vigilance during high-traffic periods, while the decline in anti-social behaviour offers a positive indicator of ongoing efforts to maintain public order.

Ceredigion's November 2023 crime rate of 5.7 per 1,000 residents represents a 4.8% decline from the previous month's 6.0, reinforcing a consistent downward trend in local crime statistics. Translating this rate into daily terms reveals an average of 14 crimes reported each day, a figure that provides a tangible sense of the pace at which incidents occur in the area. Over the course of the month, this translates to a monthly exposure rate of 1-in-174 residents, underscoring the relatively low frequency of crime compared to the UK average. This statistic is particularly meaningful in a region like Ceredigion, where rural characteristics and lower population density may contribute to a more community-oriented approach to safety. The contrast between the daily crime count and the monthly exposure rate highlights how localized factors, such as the presence of community policing initiatives or the area’s geographical spread, can shape the perception of crime risk. While the daily figure remains a useful metric for residents, the monthly context ensures that the data reflects the broader picture of crime incidence across the district, without overstating the frequency of individual events.