Ceredigion Crime Rate October 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Ceredigion's October 2023 crime rate of 6.0 per 1,000 residents places the area 25% below the UK average of 8.0 per 1,000, a consistent trend that reflects broader patterns in rural Welsh communities. Violence and sexual offences dominated the crime picture, accounting for 50.2% of all reported incidents and marking an 11% increase above the UK average for this category. This outlier highlights a specific challenge in the area, as violent crime rates are higher than the national average despite the overall lower crime rate. Anti-social behaviour, by contrast, was 45% below the UK average, a stark contrast that may be influenced by the area's rural nature and smaller population density. Seasonal factors such as the transition to darker evenings in October and the timing of Halloween may have played a role in shaping crime patterns, contributing to increased reports of violence and sexual offences while reducing opportunities for anti-social behaviour. The breakdown also reveals that property crimes, including burglary and vehicle crime, were significantly below the UK average, with burglary rates at 71% below the national figure. This suggests that the area's characteristics, such as lower population density and more dispersed housing, may reduce opportunities for certain types of property crime. The overall crime rate, while lower than the UK average, underscores the need for targeted interventions in areas where violent crime remains high compared to other categories. The seasonal context of October, with its shorter daylight hours and increased use of artificial lighting, may also have influenced the mix of crimes reported, though these connections remain speculative without further data.

October 2023 saw notable fluctuations in specific crime categories, with bicycle theft and robbery each experiencing a 100% increase from zero to one incident. This rise may be linked to seasonal factors such as Halloween and the transition to darker evenings, which could have influenced outdoor activity patterns. Conversely, burglary rates fell by 56.3%, a significant decline from 16 to 7 incidents, reflecting improved local security measures or seasonal changes in property use. Anti-social behaviour also decreased by 39%, from 77 to 47 incidents, a drop that may align with the end of the school term or reduced public gatherings during October. Violence and sexual offences, however, stood out as the most prevalent category, accounting for 50.2% of all crimes and exceeding the UK average by 11%. This contrast with other categories such as anti-social behaviour, which was 45% below the UK average, highlights the complex mix of local and national influences on crime patterns in Ceredigion.

Ceredigion's crime rate in October 2023 remained stable compared to the previous month, with a 1.9% increase from 5.9 to 6.0 per 1,000 residents. This consistency suggests no major shifts in criminal activity over the month. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 14 crimes per day, a figure that reflects the local context of a rural district with a population of 72,599. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 166 residents, a monthly exposure rate that underscores the relatively low frequency of incidents in this area. When compared to the UK average of 8.0 per 1,000, Ceredigion's rate remains 25% below, highlighting a broader trend of lower crime rates in rural Welsh communities. This comparison is further contextualised by the area's geographical and demographic characteristics, which may contribute to reduced opportunities for certain types of crime.