Ceredigion Crime Rate October 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Ceredigion's October 2024 crime rate stood at 7.6 per 1,000 residents, 6.2% below the UK average of 8.1 per 1,000. This figure, while lower than the national benchmark, masks a complex picture shaped by seasonal factors and local dynamics. Violence and sexual offences dominated the crime profile, comprising 48% of all reported incidents. At 3.6 per 1,000, this category was 35% above the UK average—a stark outlier that may reflect the area's rural character and the challenges of addressing interpersonal crime in smaller communities. Public order offences followed closely at 8.2% of the total, with a rate of 0.6 per 1,000, 7% above the UK average. These figures could be influenced by the transition into darker evenings and the timing of Halloween, which may have increased community interactions and potential conflicts. Conversely, anti-social behaviour remained lower than the UK average, with a rate of 0.6 per 1,000 (53% below the national figure). This may be attributed to the district's relatively low population density and the effectiveness of local community engagement initiatives. The data also highlights a marked disparity between property crime and violent crime trends, with violent offences significantly outpacing property-related crimes. This contrast could be linked to the area's demographic profile, where rural living may reduce opportunities for theft and burglary but not necessarily mitigate interpersonal tensions. The seasonal context of October—marked by the clocks going back and the approach of Halloween—adds further complexity, as these factors may influence both the frequency and nature of reported crimes. While the overall crime rate remains below the UK average, the disproportionate prevalence of violent offences suggests a need for targeted strategies to address this specific category. Understanding these patterns is crucial for local authorities and community groups to develop effective crime prevention measures that align with the unique characteristics of Ceredigion.

Violence and sexual offences accounted for 48% of all crimes in October 2024, with a rate of 3.6 per 1,000—35% above the UK average. This stark outlier contrasts with Ceredigion's generally lower overall crime rate and may reflect local social dynamics or seasonal pressures, such as darker evenings during the month. Shoplifting saw a dramatic 92.9% increase from 14 to 27 incidents, likely influenced by Halloween-related activity or changes in retail patterns. Meanwhile, burglary decreased by 11.1% (18 to 16 cases), aligning with the area's rural profile where property crime tends to be less frequent. Anti-social behaviour, at 0.6 per 1,000, was 53% below the UK average, possibly due to the district's lower population density and community-focused policing strategies. These shifts underscore the importance of targeted interventions in high-impact categories like violence and shoplifting.

Ceredigion's crime rate in October 2024 rose 21.8% compared to the previous month, moving from 6.2 to 7.6 per 1,000 residents. This increase, though significant, still leaves the area 6.2% below the UK average of 8.1 per 1,000. Locally, the monthly figure translates to 18 crimes reported per day on average—a rate that, while manageable, warrants attention to emerging trends. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for every 132 residents, a metric that provides context for community risk exposure. The population-scaled perspective reveals that Ceredigion's lower-than-average burglary and theft from the person rates may reflect the area's rural character, where fewer high-density urban spaces exist to drive such crimes. However, the rise in shoplifting and vehicle crime suggests shifting patterns that could be tied to seasonal factors like Halloween or changes in local activity levels.