Ceredigion Crime Rate September 2024 | Monthly Statistics

The balance between property and violent crime in Ceredigion during September 2024 reveals a distinct pattern that may reflect local social dynamics and seasonal factors. Violent crimes, particularly violence and sexual offences, accounted for 44.2% of all reported crimes, significantly outpacing property crimes (24.4%). This skew towards violent crime is notable given the area’s generally rural character, where property crime typically constitutes a larger share of total incidents. The overall crime rate of 6.2 per 1,000 residents places Ceredigion 19.5% below the UK average of 7.7 per 1,000, a gap that may be influenced by the district’s relatively low population density and limited urban centres. The seasonal context of September—marked by the return of students to local universities and the start of the academic year—likely contributes to the elevated proportion of violent crimes. This period often sees increased social interactions in both rural and coastal areas, which may heighten opportunities for conflicts or alcohol-related incidents. However, the data also shows a marked absence of certain crime types typical in urban areas, such as theft from the person (0.7% of total crimes) and vehicle crime (0.7%), which could indicate lower foot traffic in retail zones or fewer public transport hubs. The relatively low rate of anti-social behaviour (8.4% of total crimes) compared to the UK average (1.2%) suggests that community cohesion or effective local policing may be playing a role in mitigating disorderly conduct. These patterns, while consistent with Ceredigion’s geography and demographics, warrant further analysis to determine whether they reflect long-term trends or temporary fluctuations tied to specific events.

September 2024 saw several notable shifts in crime trends within Ceredigion. Vehicle crime increased by 200%, rising from one incident to three, a sharp contrast to the 100% decrease in bicycle theft (from four to one). This divergence may be attributed to seasonal factors, with the return of students to university campuses potentially increasing the number of vehicles on local roads while simultaneously reducing opportunities for bicycle theft due to fewer cyclists. Other crime also saw a significant rise, jumping 88.9% from nine to 17 incidents, which could indicate a broader uptick in unclassified or emerging crime types. Meanwhile, shoplifting dropped by 36.4% (from 22 to 14), linked to the post-summer lull in tourist activity or more effective retail security measures. The category of violence and sexual offences, which made up 44.2% of all crimes, remained 3% above the UK average (2.6 per 1,000), highlighting a persistent challenge in this area compared to national benchmarks. Conversely, anti-social behaviour was 57% below the UK average, a figure that might reflect the community’s smaller scale or strong social networks. For residents, the 200% increase in vehicle crime serves as a concrete reminder to secure personal vehicles, particularly in areas near educational institutions where temporary parking arrangements are common. These changes, while significant, must be viewed within the context of the overall crime rate remaining 19.5% below the UK average, suggesting that Ceredigion’s broader safety profile remains comparatively strong.

Ceredigion’s September 2024 crime rate of 6.2 per 1,000 residents represents a 13.8% decrease from the previous month’s rate of 7.2 per 1,000, indicating a downward trend that may be influenced by seasonal or situational factors. On a daily basis, the district recorded approximately 15 crimes per day in September, a figure that, while modest, provides residents with a tangible sense of the frequency of incidents in their local area. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for every 161 residents, a monthly exposure rate that places Ceredigion in a safer bracket compared to many urban centres. With a population of 72,599, the district’s relatively low crime rate is particularly striking when contrasted with the UK average, which suggests that local conditions—such as rural isolation, limited commercial hubs, or effective community policing—may be contributing to this disparity. The previous month’s rate of 7.2 per 1,000 highlights a consistent reduction in crime, though it remains to be seen whether this is a temporary phenomenon or part of a longer-term trend. For context, the UK average of 7.7 per 1,000 means that Ceredigion’s residents face a 19.5% lower risk of encountering crime compared to the national average, a margin that could be influenced by the area’s unique demographic profile or environmental factors. These comparisons underscore the importance of maintaining local initiatives that support crime prevention, even as the district continues to manage its own specific challenges in violent crime and emerging categories like 'other crime.'