Ceredigion Crime Rate November 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Ceredigion's overall crime rate in November 2025 stood at 5.2 crimes per 1,000 residents, a figure 28.8% below the UK average of 7.3 per 1,000. This continued trend of lower-than-average crime rates reflects the area's unique character as a sparsely populated, largely rural district with limited urban centres. The most common crime type was violence and sexual offences, accounting for 48.6% of all reported crimes, followed by public order offences (9.2%) and criminal damage and arson (9.2%). These patterns align with the seasonal context of November, a month marked by darker evenings, Bonfire Night events, and the early stages of Black Friday shopping, which may partly explain the prominence of public order and violent incidents. Despite these factors, the area's crime profile remains lower than the UK average, with anti-social behaviour rates 62% below national levels and shoplifting incidents 68% below the UK average. This suggests a combination of community cohesion, effective local policing, and the geographical characteristics of Ceredigion, where isolated rural areas may limit opportunities for certain types of crime. The relatively low levels of property crime—such as burglary (4.0% of total crimes) and vehicle crime (1.6%)—further highlight the area's distinct crime profile compared to more densely populated regions.

November 2025 saw a 46.9% decrease in shoplifting incidents, falling from 32 to 17. This decline, consistent with the UK-wide trend of reduced retail theft during the winter months, may reflect shorter shopping hours or the absence of major festive sales events compared to other periods. Conversely, bicycle theft increased by 100% (from 0 to 2), a rare anomaly that could be linked to the start of university term cycles or seasonal cycling patterns. The breakdown of crime types also revealed stark contrasts with national averages: anti-social behaviour rates were 62% below the UK average, while public order offences were 6% above. This divergence highlights the combination of local demographics and broader national trends, with Ceredigion's rural nature likely contributing to lower levels of anti-social behaviour but maintaining a proportionate share of public order incidents tied to local events. For residents, the most immediate practical insight is the significant drop in shoplifting, which may indicate improved security measures at local retail outlets or a shift in consumer behaviour during the month.

Ceredigion's crime rate in November 2025 (5.2 per 1,000) marked a 14.3% decrease from the previous month's rate of 6.1 per 1,000. This reduction, when contextualised against the area's population of 72,599, translates to roughly 13 crimes reported per day on average—slightly below the daily pace seen in the prior month. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for every 192 residents, a figure that underscores the relatively low frequency of criminal activity in this largely rural district. When compared to the UK average, Ceredigion's monthly exposure to crime remains significantly lower, with the 28.8% gap highlighting the area's distinctiveness in terms of safety. This comparison is further reinforced by the population-scaled perspective: for every 1,000 residents in Ceredigion, there are 5.2 crimes, compared to 7.3 across the UK as a whole. These statistics suggest that factors such as lower population density, limited urban centres, and potentially more effective community policing in Ceredigion contribute to its consistently lower crime rates. However, the 6% increase in public order offences compared to the UK average indicates that certain localised challenges—such as managing events during darker evenings—remain areas for attention.