Ceredigion Crime Rate October 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Violence and sexual offences dominated Ceredigion's crime profile in October 2025, accounting for 46.6% of all reported incidents and marking a 5% increase above the UK average of 2.7 per 1,000. This category's prominence may be influenced by the area's relatively small population and the social dynamics of a rural district, where community interactions and limited anonymity could contribute to higher rates of interpersonal crime. The overall crime rate of 6.1 per 1,000 residents, 20.8% below the UK average, reflects a generally safer environment compared to national trends, though the concentration of violent crime suggests localized challenges. Property crimes, while less prevalent than violent offences, still accounted for 30.3% of total incidents, with criminal damage and arson (9.7%) and public order offences (8.4%) also contributing to the mix. Seasonal factors, including the transition to darker evenings and the proximity of Halloween, may have temporarily elevated certain types of crime, particularly those involving public spaces. The area's crime profile, while lower than the UK average overall, demonstrates a nuanced picture where violent crime remains a focal concern, even as other categories such as anti-social behaviour (60% below UK average) and vehicle crime (76% below UK average) indicate strong performance in specific areas.

October saw a 600% surge in theft from the person, jumping from one incident to seven, a dramatic increase that may reflect seasonal factors such as Halloween or increased pedestrian activity in darker evenings. Concurrently, possession of weapons rose by 200%, with reports doubling from two to six, a spike that could be linked to local events or heightened tensions during the month. Burglary also doubled, rising from eight to 16, though this remains significantly below the UK average of 0.3 per 1,000. In contrast, other crime dropped by 55.6%, from nine to four, and vehicle crime fell by 12.5%, from eight to seven—both declines influenced by reduced travel during the month. Violence and sexual offences remained 5% above the UK average, while anti-social behaviour was 60% below, highlighting a stark contrast in local crime dynamics compared to national trends.

Ceredigion's crime rate in October 2025 rose by 19.9% compared to the previous month, moving from 5.1 to 6.1 per 1,000 residents. This increase, while notable, still positions the area 20.8% below the UK average of 7.7 per 1,000. Daily crime statistics show an average of 14 crimes reported each day in October, a figure that, while consistent with seasonal patterns, underscores the need for ongoing monitoring. When scaled to the population of 72,599, the monthly exposure translates to one reported crime for every 164 residents—a ratio that, while lower than the UK average, reflects the area's unique demographic and geographic profile. The shift in crime patterns from September to October may be influenced by factors such as darker evenings, the transition into winter, and the timing of local events like Halloween, which could temporarily elevate certain types of incidents.