Ceredigion Crime Rate September 2025 | Monthly Statistics

In September 2025, Ceredigion’s overall crime rate stood at 5.1 per 1,000 residents, placing it 31.1% below the UK average of 7.4. This relatively low rate is shaped by a distinct balance between violent and property crimes, with the former dominating the landscape. Violent crimes—accounting for 48.2% of all incidents—were led by violence and sexual offences (178 cases), followed by criminal damage and arson (32 cases). This mix contrasts with the UK average, where violence and sexual offences are slightly lower (2.6 per 1,000), while property crimes like shoplifting and burglary are typically higher. The dominance of violent crimes in Ceredigion may reflect local factors such as the area’s rural character, where community interactions and seasonal transitions like the start of the academic year could influence patterns. September, with its back-to-school and university freshers’ events, may have contributed to increased social activity and associated risks, though the overall rate remains below the UK average. Property crimes, while lower in share (29.5% of total incidents), still included 102 cases, with shoplifting (31) and other theft (20) being the most common subcategories. These property-related offences are 34% and 40% below UK averages, respectively, suggesting that Ceredigion’s retail and commercial sectors may benefit from lower levels of targeted theft. The seasonal context of September—nights drawing in and the start of the academic term—may have influenced both the types and frequency of crimes. The data underscores a combination of local demographics, geography, and temporal factors that shape crime trends in Ceredigion.

September 2025 saw notable decreases in specific crime categories, including a 71.4% drop in possession of weapons (from 7 to 2) and a 66.7% reduction in theft from the person (from 3 to 1). These declines contrast with the persistent dominance of violent crimes, which accounted for 48.2% of all reported incidents—over double the share of property crimes. While violent crimes in Ceredigion remained 3% below the UK average, the category of drugs reported 54% more incidents than the national average, a disparity that may reflect local factors such as proximity to transport routes or community dynamics. The balance between violent and property crimes highlights a shift in focus, with violent offences driving the overall rate despite the area’s generally low crime profile. Residents may find the 71.4% reduction in weapon possession particularly relevant, as it suggests a possible decrease in aggressive incidents during the month.

Ceredigion’s crime rate in September 2025 fell by 26.4% compared to the previous month, dropping from 6.9 to 5.1 per 1,000 residents. This decline aligns with broader seasonal patterns, as the transition from summer to autumn often sees reduced outdoor activity and fewer visitors in the area. On a daily basis, the local figure of 12 crimes per day highlights the pace at which incidents occur, though this remains lower than the UK average. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 197 residents, a metric that contextualises the scale of criminal activity relative to the population. With Ceredigion’s population at 72,599, this monthly exposure rate suggests that while crime is present, it is not concentrated in any single area. The reduction in violent crimes, particularly in possession of weapons and theft from the person, may reflect the return of residents to more stable routines following the summer break.