Cotswold Crime Rate July 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Cotswold's crime rate in July 2025 stood at 5.4 per 1,000 residents, placing it 37.2% below the UK average of 8.6 per 1,000. This stark contrast with national figures reflects the area's character as a predominantly rural district with a mix of historic towns and open countryside, where community cohesion and lower population density likely contribute to reduced crime levels. The most prevalent crimes were violence and sexual offences (163 incidents), followed by anti-social behaviour (133) and public order offences (38). These figures align with seasonal patterns typical of Cotswold during peak summer months, when tourism and outdoor events elevate local activity levels. Violence and sexual offences, though the largest category, remained 41% below the UK average, consistent with the area's generally low levels of severe crime. Anti-social behaviour and public order offences also showed marked underperformance compared to the UK, with the former 3% below and the latter 38% below the national average. This suggests that Cotswold's social dynamics—perhaps influenced by its slower pace of life and strong local networks—help mitigate certain types of disruptive crime. However, the rise in shoplifting and bicycle theft may be tied to the influx of tourists during July, when festivals and events draw visitors to the area's scenic landscapes and historic sites. These trends illustrate the combination of local geography, seasonal rhythms, and community factors in shaping Cotswold's crime profile.

July 2025 saw sharp increases in shoplifting, bicycle theft, and theft from the person, each doubling compared to June. These spikes may be linked to the summer tourist season, which brings higher foot traffic to local shops and public spaces. Conversely, drug-related crimes fell by 50%, and burglary rates dropped by 20%, suggesting a possible reduction in opportunistic offences during the month. Violence and sexual offences remained significantly below the UK average, at 32.8% of total crimes compared to the national figure of 41%. This contrast highlights Cotswold's lower incidence of severe violence, potentially due to its rural character and community-focused policing. Residents may find the 100% increase in bicycle theft particularly notable, as it underscores the need for increased awareness around securing personal property during busy events.

Cotswold's crime rate in July 2025 rose slightly to 5.4 per 1,000 residents, a 3.4% increase from June's 5.2 per 1,000. This modest upward trend contrasts with the area's overall position as one of the UK's safer regions, remaining 37.2% below the national average. On a daily basis, 16 crimes were reported in July, translating to roughly one crime for every 184 residents over the month. This monthly exposure figure underscores the relatively low frequency of incidents compared to the UK's higher average. The population context further highlights Cotswold's safety: with 91,661 residents, the area's crime statistics reflect a balance between rural tranquillity and the presence of tourist attractions, which may influence seasonal fluctuations. While the increase from June is minor, it aligns with the peak of the summer season, when visitor numbers and outdoor activity levels typically rise, potentially contributing to shifts in crime patterns.