Cotswold Crime Rate June 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Cotswold's crime profile in June 2025 continued to reflect a pattern of relatively low crime rates compared to the UK average, with a total rate of 5.2 crimes per 1,000 residents—35.8% below the national average of 8.1. This performance, while consistent with historical trends, reveals a combination of local factors and broader seasonal influences. Violence and sexual offences accounted for 37.1% of all reported crimes, followed by anti-social behaviour (26.0%) and other theft (7.5%). These figures suggest a persistent challenge in addressing violent crime, which may be linked to the area's mix of rural and semi-urban communities, where social dynamics and access to services differ from densely populated centres. The seasonal context of June—a time when tourism begins to pick up in rural areas—may have contributed to the prevalence of anti-social behaviour. Conversely, the significant drop in shoplifting (68% below UK average) and public order offences (49% below) may indicate that the area's lower foot traffic and commercial activity, typical of non-urban regions, create fewer opportunities for such crimes. The overall crime rate's position well below the UK average aligns with Cotswold's status as a largely rural district, where crime patterns often diverge from those seen in major cities. However, the 43% increase in burglary rates compared to the UK average highlights a specific vulnerability that local authorities may need to address, through enhanced community policing or targeted property crime prevention initiatives. As the summer months progress, the interplay between seasonal tourism, local demographics, and policing strategies will likely continue to shape Cotswold's crime profile.

June 2025 saw a stark contrast in crime trends across Cotswold, with vehicle crime surging by 100% (from 10 to 20 incidents) and burglary rising by 45.8% (from 24 to 35). These increases may partly explain the 7.7% overall drop in the crime rate compared to May, as other categories showed marked declines. Robbery fell by 80% (from 5 to 1), and drug-related crimes dropped by 63.6% (from 11 to 4), suggesting a potential shift in criminal activity patterns during the summer months. Burglary in Cotswold remains 43% above the UK average (0.4 vs 0.3 per 1,000), a discrepancy that may reflect the area's rural landscape and the prevalence of detached housing. Meanwhile, shoplifting and public order offences were both 68% and 49% below UK averages respectively, consistent with the lower population density and reduced commercial activity typical of non-urban regions.

Cotswold's crime rate in June 2025 (5.2 per 1,000 residents) marked a 7.7% decline from the previous month's 5.7 per 1,000, reflecting a continued downward trend. This reduction aligns with a broader pattern observed over recent months, though seasonal factors may influence the pace of change. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 16 crimes per day, a figure that contextualises the frequency of incidents for local residents. Over the course of the month, one crime was reported for every 191 residents, a ratio that underscores the relatively low crime exposure compared to larger urban centres. The population of 91,661 further frames these statistics, illustrating that the crime burden remains distributed across a relatively large and dispersed community. While the overall rate remains well below the UK average, the comparison between Cotswold and national figures highlights the effectiveness of local policing strategies, though this may also reflect the area's rural character and lower population density.