Bagillt Crime Rate June 2023 | Monthly Statistics

June 2023 presented a mixed picture for crime in Bagillt, a built-up area within Flintshire, with the overall crime rate standing at 7.7 per 1,000 residents—9.4% below the UK average. This figure, while lower than the national benchmark, conceals a complex distribution across crime categories. Violence and sexual offences dominated, contributing 50% of all reported crimes, a share significantly higher than the UK average of 30% for this category. This overrepresentation may be influenced by the area’s proximity to larger urban centres, where such crimes are more concentrated, or by the dynamics of a small community where interpersonal conflicts can escalate quickly. Seasonal factors also played a role: as June marks the start of the summer season, the extended daylight hours and increased tourism in nearby coastal areas may have shifted crime patterns, with fewer property crimes but a corresponding rise in anti-social behaviour and other unclassified incidents. The category of 'other crime', though small in volume, stood out with a rate 300% above the UK average, suggesting either underreporting in other areas or unique local challenges that require further investigation. Anti-social behaviour, which accounted for 16.7% of all crimes, saw a notable decline of 41.7% compared to the previous month, reflecting the impact of community initiatives or changes in local events that reduced opportunities for such incidents. This interplay between seasonal trends, community dynamics, and local policing efforts underscores the need for a nuanced approach to crime prevention in Bagillt.

June 2023 saw a sharp 100% increase in criminal damage and arson, rising from 2 to 4 incidents—a spike that may reflect seasonal factors such as increased outdoor activity or unsecured properties during longer daylight hours. Conversely, anti-social behaviour fell by 41.7%, with reported incidents dropping from 12 to 7, potentially linked to improved community engagement or targeted policing efforts. The category of 'other crime' also rose by 50%, with three incidents recorded, a rate 300% above the UK average for this category. This anomaly highlights the need for further analysis into what constitutes these incidents, as they may include unclassified or emerging crime types. Violent crimes remained high, accounting for 50% of all reported crimes in the area, a share 30% above the UK average. This imbalance suggests a focus on addressing interpersonal conflicts and ensuring community support systems are robust enough to prevent escalation.

Bagillt’s June 2023 crime rate of 7.7 per 1,000 residents marks an 8.7% decline from May’s 8.4 per 1,000, reflecting a continued downward trend. This reduction, while modest, aligns with broader seasonal patterns observed in similar rural-urban mixed areas, where summer months often see lower property crime due to increased outdoor activity and community engagement. On a daily basis, the area experienced roughly one reported crime per day over June—a frequency that, while low, underscores the need for sustained vigilance in local hotspots. Monthly exposure calculations reveal that over the course of June, one crime occurred for every 131 residents, a statistic that contextualises the scale of risk for the community. When compared to the UK average, Bagillt’s overall rate remains 9.4% below the national figure, a gap that highlights the effectiveness of local policing strategies in mitigating crime. However, the population-scaled perspective reveals that the area’s smaller size means even minor fluctuations can have noticeable impacts on residents’ perceptions of safety.