Bagillt Crime Rate January 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Bagillt's crime profile in January 2025 showed a notable improvement compared to the UK average, with a 7.0% reduction in the overall crime rate to 6.6 per 1,000 residents. This performance places the built-up area within Flintshire ahead of the national benchmark, though the specific distribution of crime types reveals a complex picture. Violence and sexual offences dominated the crime profile, accounting for 38.9% of all reported incidents, followed by anti-social behaviour at 16.7%. These figures suggest that interpersonal conflicts and disorder remain significant challenges in the area. The seasonal context of January, with its post-holiday lull and reduced retail activity, likely contributed to the overall decline in crime, though the persistence of violent offences indicates that deeper social factors may be at play. Burglary, while still present at 11.1% of all crimes, showed a marked divergence from the UK average, being 133% higher. This anomaly may be explained by the built-up area's specific characteristics, such as the distribution of residential properties and local security measures. The relatively low levels of shoplifting (2.8% of all crimes) and vehicle crime (2.8%) compared to UK averages could reflect the area's smaller retail footprint and limited commuter traffic, though the 100% increase in shoplifting from December raises questions about potential vulnerabilities in local retail security practices. The data underscores the need for a nuanced approach to crime prevention, combining targeted interventions for violent and anti-social behaviour with continued monitoring of emerging trends in property-related crimes.

The most striking change in January 2025 was the 85.7% reduction in criminal damage and arson, with incidents dropping from 7 to 1. This steep decline may reflect the seasonal lull in outdoor activities during January's shorter days. Conversely, shoplifting saw a 100% increase from zero to one incident, a shift that could be linked to the post-holiday period when retail premises may be more vulnerable to opportunistic theft. Violence and sexual offences remained the most prevalent category, accounting for 38.9% of all crimes, though they were 4% above the UK average. This discrepancy highlights the need for targeted interventions in areas where these crimes are concentrated. Anti-social behaviour also showed a 12% gap above the UK average, a figure that may be influenced by the built-up area's specific social dynamics. The 100% increase in vehicle crime, though from a low base, warrants attention given the potential connection to colder weather patterns affecting vehicle security practices.

Bagillt's crime rate in January 2025 stood at 6.6 per 1,000 residents, marking a 33.4% decrease from the previous month's rate of 9.9 per 1,000. This decline aligns with the post-holiday seasonal pattern typical for January, when reduced retail footfall and shorter daylight hours may contribute to lower opportunities for certain crimes. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately one reported crime per day over the 31-day period, a figure that provides a tangible sense of local crime frequency. When scaled to the population, this translates to one reported crime for every 152 residents over the course of the month. This monthly exposure rate offers context for residents considering their personal risk profile, though crime distribution can vary significantly across different parts of the built-up area. The drop from the previous month's rate suggests a potential shift in local dynamics, though further analysis would be required to identify specific contributing factors.