Holywell Crime Rate October 2024 | Monthly Statistics

The crime profile of Holywell in October 2024 reveals a stark imbalance in the types of incidents reported, with violence and sexual offences dominating at 42.3% of all crimes. This is followed by anti-social behaviour (26.2%) and criminal damage and arson (12.3%), creating a mix that contrasts sharply with the UK average, where property crimes typically make up a larger share. The area's overall crime rate of 14.9 per 1,000 residents is 84% above the national average, a figure that suggests systemic challenges in addressing violent and disruptive crime. The seasonal context of October—darker evenings, the transition to winter, and the proximity of Halloween—likely contributes to the elevated rates of anti-social behaviour and public order offences. While the UK average for violence and sexual offences is 2.7 per 1,000, Holywell's rate of 6.3 per 1,000 is 136% higher, a disparity that may reflect local social dynamics, such as concentrated populations in certain areas or limited community resources for conflict resolution. The low incidence of burglary (0.1 per 1,000) and drugs-related offences (0.1 per 1,000) compared to the UK average suggests that property crimes are not the primary concern here, but the high rates of violent and disruptive crime indicate a need for targeted interventions. The balance of crime types in Holywell appears to be shaped by factors such as the built-up nature of the area, which may foster close-knit communities where interpersonal conflicts escalate quickly, and the limited availability of alternative spaces for social interaction, which could contribute to anti-social behaviour. This pattern is consistent with smaller urban centres where crime is often concentrated in specific locations rather than spread across a wider geographic area.

October 2024 saw a 31.0% increase in violence and sexual offences, rising from 42 to 55 incidents. This surge, combined with a 33.3% jump in criminal damage and arson, points to a shift in the crime mix toward more violent and property-related offences. Anti-social behaviour also rose sharply, with 34 incidents reported—202% above the UK average for this category. Shoplifting decreased by 20% compared to the previous month, a rare dip in a category typically driven by retail activity. While vehicle crime increased by 33.3%, the rate remains slightly above the UK average at 0.5 per 1,000. These fluctuations suggest a combination of local dynamics and seasonal factors, such as the timing of Halloween events, which may have influenced patterns of public order and property crime.

Holywell's crime rate in October 2024 rose to 14.9 per 1,000 residents, a 13.0% increase from the previous month's 13.2 per 1,000. This places the area significantly above the UK average of 8.1 per 1,000, highlighting a persistent divergence from national trends. Daily crime figures show an average of four reported incidents each day, a rate that, while not extreme, reflects a consistent presence of criminal activity in the built-up area. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 67 residents—a monthly exposure rate that underscores the frequency of incidents relative to the population. When compared to the previous month, the 0.7-per-1,000 increase in violent crimes and the 0.5-per-1,000 rise in vehicle crime suggest a compounding effect of seasonal and local factors, such as the transition to darker evenings and the timing of Halloween events, which may have influenced public behavior and opportunities for crime.