Mynydd Isa Crime Rate September 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Violence and sexual offences dominated Mynydd Isa's crime profile in September 2024, comprising half of all reported incidents. This stark contrast to the UK average, where such crimes account for 47% of total offences, highlights a unique local pattern. The overall crime rate of 2.8 per 1,000 residents—63.6% below the UK average of 7.7—reflects a generally low-risk environment, though the dominance of violent crime suggests specific local dynamics. With 8 violent incidents reported, the area's crime picture diverges from national trends where property crimes typically outpace violent offences. This divergence may align with Mynydd Isa's character as a built-up area within Flintshire, where seasonal factors like the return to school and university freshers' week could contribute to increased social interactions and associated tensions. The 4 property crimes recorded, while lower than the national average, were overshadowed by the surge in violent incidents, which may be linked to the area's compact residential layout and limited public spaces. The seasonal context of September—nights drawing in and the start of term—likely plays a role in shaping these patterns, as reduced daylight hours and increased pedestrian activity in local amenities could create conditions conducive to conflict. The absence of significant property crime spikes suggests that community cohesion or effective local policing may mitigate risks in this area, though the focus on violent crime remains a critical area for further analysis.

September 2024 saw a 14.1% increase in Mynydd Isa's crime rate compared to August, with violence and sexual offences rising by 14.3% (7 to 8 incidents). This uptick was driven by a 100% surge in other thefts, which jumped from 0 to 4 incidents, and a 100% increase in public order offences, which rose from 0 to 1. While the overall rate remains well below the UK average, violent crime in Mynydd Isa is 47% below the national rate of 2.6 per 1,000, suggesting local factors may temper violence despite the seasonal context. Other thefts, however, are 32% above the UK average of 0.5 per 1,000, indicating a specific vulnerability in this category. The 8 violent incidents alone represent a significant proportion of the area's total crime count, with 50% of all reported offences falling into this category. This concentration of violent crime contrasts sharply with the national profile, where property crimes typically dominate. The absence of a corresponding rise in property crime suggests that local conditions—such as the area's small size, limited commercial activity, or community-focused policing—may contribute to this divergence. Residents should be aware of the heightened focus on violent crime, which may be influenced by the influx of students and the start of the academic term in September.

Mynydd Isa's crime rate in September 2024 rose to 2.8 per 1,000 residents, a 14.1% increase from August's rate of 2.5. This upward trend, though modest, reflects a shift in the crime mix rather than an absolute surge in incidents. On a daily basis, the area experienced roughly 1 crime per day over the 30-day period, a figure that translates to a monthly exposure of 1 reported crime for every 352 residents. This low frequency underscores the area's overall safety compared to the UK average, where the equivalent exposure would be significantly higher. The population-scaled perspective reveals that the 16 crimes reported in September affected less than 1% of Mynydd Isa's 5,630 residents, emphasizing the rarity of crime in this built-up area. While the increase from August is notable, it remains within the bounds of normal seasonal fluctuations, which in September may include the return of students and the associated adjustments in local demographics. The lack of a corresponding rise in property crime, despite the national trend of property offences typically outpacing violent crime, suggests that local factors such as community cohesion or policing strategies may be at play. This comparison highlights the importance of contextualizing crime data within the specific characteristics of Mynydd Isa, rather than drawing broad conclusions from national averages.