Shotton Crime Rate March 2024 | Monthly Statistics

For every 1,000 residents in Shotton, 13.9 crimes were reported in March 2024—a figure that places the area 80.5% above the UK average of 7.7 per 1,000. This rate translates to a personal risk that, while not extreme, is significantly higher than the national context. The most common crimes were violence and sexual offences (39.6% of total), followed by anti-social behaviour (23.1%) and public order incidents (9.9%). These figures align with patterns often seen in built-up areas where social interactions are frequent, though the sharpness of the disparity with the UK average suggests local factors may be at play. The seasonal transition from winter to spring, coupled with the extension of daylight hours, may have contributed to the rise in violent and anti-social crimes, as evenings become more conducive to outdoor activity and social gatherings. However, a direct link between these factors and the specific increases observed. Property crimes, by contrast, were relatively low, with shoplifting and other theft accounting for just 12.1% of total incidents. This imbalance between violent and property crime could reflect the area’s character, though without explicit demographic data, any explanation must remain tentative. The rate of violence and sexual offences, at 5.5 per 1,000, is 106% above the UK average, a gap that may be influenced by local socioeconomic conditions or policing strategies. Anti-social behaviour, at 3.2 per 1,000, is even more pronounced, with a 176% gap above the national rate—a statistic that could signal underlying tensions or challenges in community cohesion. Public order offences, though lower in absolute terms, also exceeded the UK average by 159%, suggesting that disruptions in public spaces may be a recurring issue. The relatively low rates of burglary (0.2 per 1,000) and vehicle crime (0.2 per 1,000) contrast sharply with the UK averages, though these categories are not immune to fluctuations. The data highlights a combination of local dynamics and national trends, with Shotton’s crime profile standing out as both a cautionary example and a point of analysis for policymakers and residents alike.

March 2024 saw a 20% increase in violence and sexual offences, rising from 30 to 36 incidents—a jump that may relate to the transition into spring and extended evening hours. Anti-social behaviour also rose by 16.7%, with 21 incidents reported, reflecting a 176% gap above the UK average for this category. Criminal damage and arson climbed by a third, from six to eight cases, a trend that could align with seasonal transitions or local events. Conversely, burglary, vehicle crime, and 'other crime' all fell by 75%, 50%, and 50% respectively, though these decreases may be isolated or temporary. The stark contrast between rising violent crime and falling property crime highlights a shift in the crime mix, with violent offences now accounting for nearly 40% of all reported incidents. For residents, the daily crime count of three incidents offers a tangible measure of risk, though the drop in burglary provides a potential area of reassurance.

Shotton's crime rate in March 2024 remained stable compared to February, with a 1.1% increase from 13.8 to 13.9 per 1,000 residents. This small shift suggests no significant short-term trend, though the rate remains substantially higher than the UK average. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately three crimes per day—a figure that, while not uncommon for urban centres, underscores the persistent need for vigilance. Over the course of March, one crime occurred for roughly every 72 residents, a monthly exposure that highlights the frequency of incidents in a relatively small population. When scaled to Shotton’s 6,526 residents, this rate translates to a personal risk that, while not extreme, is higher than the national context. The stability in the overall rate contrasts with the sharp fluctuations in specific crime categories, particularly the surge in violence and anti-social behaviour, which may reflect seasonal or local factors not captured by the aggregate figures.