Cinderford Crime Rate July 2024 | Monthly Statistics

In July 2024, Cinderford recorded 72 crimes across its population of 8,808 residents, translating to a crime rate of 8.2 per 1,000 people—2.4% below the UK average of 8.4 per 1,000. This figure, while slightly lower than the national benchmark, reveals a crime profile shaped by the area's built-up character and seasonal dynamics. The most prevalent offences were violence and sexual offences (28 incidents, 38.9% of total), followed by anti-social behaviour (21 incidents, 29.2%). These patterns align with the Forest of Dean's status as a semi-rural commuter hub, where transient populations and local festivals may influence crime trends. The month's peak summer conditions, with schools closed and tourism at its height, likely contributed to the elevated rates of anti-social behaviour and public order offences. Violent crime decreased by 34.9% compared to June, possibly due to enhanced community policing during the summer season. However, other theft offences surged by 250%, highlighting the need for targeted interventions in retail areas. The overall rate, though modest, underscores the importance of localised crime prevention strategies that account for both the area's demographic profile and its seasonal rhythms.

July 2024 saw significant fluctuations in crime types compared to June. Other theft, which previously accounted for just 2 incidents, surged to 7—a 250% increase—likely reflecting heightened retail activity during summer festivals. Public order offences also doubled, reaching 4 incidents, consistent with the influx of tourists and outdoor events typical of the season. Conversely, violence and sexual offences dropped by 34.9% to 28 incidents, a shift that may be attributed to increased community policing efforts during peak tourist periods. Anti-social behaviour remained high, with 21 incidents reported—66% above the UK average. This category's prevalence may be linked to the area's built-up character and the social dynamics of its population. Meanwhile, shoplifting incidents rose by 100% to 2, though this remains 71% below the UK average, due to the Forest of Dean's lower retail density compared to major urban centres.

Cinderford's July 2024 crime rate of 8.2 per 1,000 residents marks a 14.4% decrease from the previous month's rate of 9.5 per 1,000. This decline aligns with the typical seasonal pattern observed in built-up areas during summer, when tourism peaks and community engagement increases. On a daily basis, the area experienced roughly 2 crimes per day in July, a figure that, while modest, reflects the concentrated nature of reported incidents in specific neighbourhoods. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for every 122 residents, a statistic that contextualises the scale of incidents relative to the local population of 8,808. This monthly exposure rate, though low compared to larger urban centres, underscores the importance of localised policing strategies in maintaining public safety. The population-scaled perspective also highlights that Cinderford's crime profile remains distinct from national trends, particularly in categories such as anti-social behaviour and other theft, which are elevated relative to UK averages.