Cinderford Crime Rate June 2024 | Monthly Statistics

For every 1,000 residents in Cinderford, 9.5 crimes were reported in June 2024, placing the area 15.9% above the UK average of 8.2 per 1,000. This rate translates to a daily risk of roughly 3 crimes reported in the built-up area, with one in every 105 residents experiencing a crime over the course of the month. The most prevalent crimes were violence and sexual offences, accounting for 51.2% of all reports, followed by anti-social behaviour (22.6%) and criminal damage and arson (8.3%). These figures align with the area's seasonal rhythm: as June marks the start of summer, longer daylight hours may contribute to increased outdoor activity and associated risks. The disproportionate concentration of violent crime—78% above the UK average—suggests local factors, such as the town's proximity to the Forest of Dean's natural attractions, may influence patterns of interaction between residents and visitors. Anti-social behaviour, while 57% above the UK average, could be linked to the area's compact built-up nature, where social tensions may escalate more quickly in densely populated spaces. These statistics, while numerical, reflect lived experiences: for a resident, this means a higher probability of encountering violent incidents than the national average, necessitating awareness of local hotspots and community engagement.

June 2024 saw sharp increases in criminal damage and arson (+250%), possession of weapons (+100%), and 'other crime' (+100%), all of which may indicate emerging trends or unaddressed local issues. Conversely, shoplifting fell by 75% compared to the previous month, potentially reflecting seasonal shifts as tourism in the Forest of Dean typically peaks later in the summer. The violent crime category—43 incidents in total—remains starkly elevated, with a rate of 4.9 per 1,000 compared to the UK average of 2.8 per 1,000. This 78% disparity highlights a critical area for community focus, as it directly impacts residents' safety perceptions. Meanwhile, public order offences dropped by 60% (from 5 to 2), due to the closure of local venues during the early summer, though this may not be sustained as outdoor events resume. The significant gap between Cinderford's 'other crime' rate (0.5 per 1,000) and the UK average (0.2 per 1,000)—a 212% difference—suggests the need for further investigation into the nature of these unclassified incidents, which could range from minor disputes to more complex issues. For residents, the most tangible change is the 75% drop in shoplifting, which may translate to a slightly lower risk of theft in local retail areas during this period.

Cinderford's June 2024 crime rate of 9.5 per 1,000 represents a 3.4% decrease from the previous month's rate of 9.9 per 1,000, indicating a modest downward trend. However, this remains 15.9% above the UK average, underscoring the area's unique position within national crime statistics. On a daily basis, residents can expect approximately 3 crimes to be reported in the built-up area, a figure that, while not alarmingly high, necessitates vigilance. Over the course of June, one in every 105 residents experienced a reported crime—a monthly exposure rate that, while lower than some urban centres, is still higher than the national average. The population context of 8,808 residents means that each individual's risk is scaled by local demographics: for instance, the concentration of violent crimes in a compact area may lead to higher localized exposure for certain neighbourhoods. Comparing this to the UK average, Cinderford's anti-social behaviour rate (2.2 per 1,000) is 57% above the national figure, which may be attributed to the area's social dynamics in a small, close-knit community. Conversely, public order offences (0.2 per 1,000) are 67% below the UK average, reflecting the area's lower population density and fewer public spaces conducive to such incidents. These comparisons highlight that while Cinderford's crime profile is not uniformly extreme, specific categories demand attention to ensure sustained safety improvements.