Ash and Ash Vale Crime Rate November 2024 | Monthly Statistics

In November 2024, Ash and Ash Vale recorded a crime rate of 4.7 per 1,000 residents, significantly lower than the UK average of 7.6 per 1,000—38.2% below. This figure places the area among the safer built-up regions in the UK, though the distribution of crime types reveals an uneven picture. Violent crimes, particularly violence and sexual offences, accounted for 38.3% of all incidents, far exceeding property crimes, which made up 28.3%. This imbalance may be influenced by the area’s character as a densely populated suburb within Guildford, where social interactions and retail activity contribute to higher rates of interpersonal crime. Seasonal factors such as Bonfire Night and Black Friday shopping also played a role, with anti-social behaviour and vehicle crime showing spikes during the month. The UK average for violence and sexual offences is 2.6 per 1,000, yet Ash and Ash Vale’s rate of 1.8 per 1,000 is 30% below, suggesting effective local initiatives or demographic factors that mitigate such crimes. Meanwhile, property-related offences like burglary and shoplifting remained well below national averages, with burglary at 0.2 per 1,000 compared to the UK’s 0.3 per 1,000. This could reflect the area’s lower density and stronger community oversight. However, the sharp increase in vehicle crime—up 87.5% from October—raises questions about whether temporary factors, such as increased traffic during holiday shopping, are contributing to this trend. The data also highlights a 100% rise in robbery, though this single incident may be an anomaly rather than a broader pattern. Overall, the crime profile of Ash and Ash Vale in November 2024 illustrates a combination of local demographics, seasonal activity, and targeted policing efforts, with violent crime remaining a focal point despite the area’s generally low crime rates.

Violent crimes dominated the crime mix in November, making up 38.3% of all incidents, compared to property crimes at 28.3%. This shift may reflect seasonal factors, such as reduced daylight hours during Bonfire Night and increased retail activity around Black Friday. Among month-on-month changes, vehicle crime surged by 87.5%, rising from 8 to 15 incidents, a figure that could be linked to increased vehicle movement during the holiday shopping period. Conversely, other thefts dropped by 85.7%, from 7 to 1, due to heightened awareness during the festive season. Violence and sexual offences, at 1.8 per 1,000, were 30% below the UK average, a trend consistent with the area’s lower population density and community-focused policing initiatives. The 100% increase in robbery, from 0 to 1 incident, is a critical outlier that deserves closer attention to local security measures.

The crime rate for November 2024 remained stable compared to the previous month, declining by 0.8% to 4.7 per 1,000 residents from 4.8 per 1,000 in October. This suggests continuity in local policing efforts and community engagement strategies. On a daily basis, the area recorded approximately four crimes per day, a figure that aligns with the built-up nature of Ash and Ash Vale within Guildford. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 211 residents, a rate that underscores the area’s relative safety compared to national averages. When scaled to the local population of 25,357, this translates to a manageable monthly exposure for residents, though the slight decline in burglary and public order offences may reflect seasonal changes in activity patterns. The stability in overall crime rates, despite fluctuations in specific categories, indicates a consistent baseline of security in the area.