Caernarfon Crime Rate October 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Caernarfon's October 2025 crime rate of 9.3 per 1,000 residents places the area 20.8% above the UK average, reflecting a combination of local and national dynamics. The most prevalent crimes were violence and sexual offences (36.2% of total), anti-social behaviour (29.8%), and shoplifting (9.6%), with the latter two categories showing starkly higher rates than the UK average. This pattern is consistent with Caernarfon's character as a coastal town in north Wales, where anti-social behaviour may be exacerbated by seasonal events like Halloween and the transition to darker evenings. The higher-than-average rate of violence could be linked to the area's tourist infrastructure, which may see increased foot traffic and associated risks during peak seasons. Shoplifting's 66.7% decline from September suggests that targeted retail security measures or seasonal retail closures may have played a role, though the absence of a corresponding drop in other property crimes indicates that broader factors are at work. The overall crime rate remains elevated compared to the UK average, a disparity that may be influenced by Caernarfon's smaller population size and the challenges of policing in a rural-urban interface, where resources are stretched thin. Seasonal factors such as reduced daylight hours and the approach of winter may also contribute to the persistence of certain crime types, though the 23% monthly decline from September offers a glimmer of progress that could be reinforced by sustained community engagement and local policing initiatives.

October 2025 marked a 23.0% decrease in Caernarfon's overall crime rate compared to the previous month. above the UK average. Violence and sexual offences accounted for 36.2% of all crimes, with a rate of 3.4 per 1,000—28% above the UK average. Anti-social behaviour rose by 16.7% (24 to 28), a category where Caernarfon's rate is 122% above the UK average, suggesting persistent local challenges. Conversely, shoplifting fell sharply by 66.7% (27 to 9), possibly reflecting seasonal retail patterns or targeted policing. Drugs-related crime dropped by 70.0% (10 to 3), a decline that may indicate shifts in local drug markets or enforcement efforts. Theft from the person, however, surged by 100.0% (0 to 1), a concerning increase that highlights vulnerabilities in personal safety during darker evenings.

Caernarfon's crime rate in October 2025 fell by 23.0% compared to the previous month, dropping from 12.1 to 9.3 per 1,000 residents. This decline aligns with seasonal patterns as October brings shorter evenings and the transition from summer to autumn, potentially reducing opportunities for outdoor crime. On a daily basis, 3 crimes were reported each day in October, a figure that, while local to Caernarfon, offers a tangible sense of the area's monthly exposure. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 108 residents—a rate that, when scaled to the area's population of 10,116, highlights the relative frequency of incidents. This monthly exposure figure is particularly meaningful for residents, as it translates to a 1-in-108 chance of being directly affected by crime during October. The drop from November's rate suggests that factors such as reduced tourism or seasonal lulls may have played a role, though local dynamics like community initiatives or policing strategies could also contribute to this downward trend.