Caernarfon Crime Rate September 2025 | Monthly Statistics

September 2025 saw an unexpected surge in bicycle theft in Caernarfon, with reported cases tripling from one to three — a 200% increase — marking the most dramatic shift in the area’s crime profile. This spike, occurring against a backdrop of back-to-school and university freshers’ week, highlights a potential link between increased foot traffic and vulnerable targets. The overall crime rate for the month stood at 12.1 per 1,000 residents, 63.5% above the UK average of 7.4, underscoring a stark deviation from national trends. Violence and sexual offences remained the most prevalent category, accounting for 28.7% of all crimes, followed by shoplifting (22.1%) and anti-social behaviour (19.7%). These figures suggest a combination of factors, including the area’s seasonal rhythms and local demographics. The pronounced rise in shoplifting — 58.8% higher than August — may reflect heightened activity in retail areas during the autumn transition. Anti-social behaviour, while down 22.6% from the previous month, still exceeded the UK average by 105%, pointing to ongoing challenges in community management. The data also reveals that drug-related crimes were 285% above the UK average, a figure that could be influenced by the area’s proximity to transport hubs or transient populations. While the overall rate remains elevated, the month-on-month reduction in criminal damage and arson (down 46.2%) offers a glimmer of optimism, tied to seasonal changes in outdoor activity. These patterns, though stark, invite further analysis of how local conditions intersect with broader national trends.

The most striking shift in September 2025 was the 200% increase in bicycle theft, a category that rose from one reported incident to three. This jump, though small in absolute terms, represents a significant departure from the previous month’s figures and may signal heightened vulnerability in a growing population of students or commuters. Concurrently, burglary rates surged by 150%, rising from two to five cases, a trend that could be linked to the influx of new residents during freshers’ week. Shoplifting also saw a sharp rise, with 27 incidents reported — 58.8% more than August — a figure that far outpaces the UK average by 343%. This disparity underscores the need for targeted interventions in retail zones. On the other hand, public order offences fell by 37.5%, dropping from eight to five, a decrease that may reflect improved policing during peak hours or a natural decline in summer-related disturbances. Anti-social behaviour. from 31 to 24 cases, still remained 105% above the UK average, highlighting persistent issues in community engagement. The data also reveals that drugs-related crimes, though relatively low in number (10 incidents), were 285% above the UK average, a figure that could be influenced by the area’s role as a transport node. These contrasting trends illustrate the uneven nature of crime in Caernarfon, where certain categories surge while others recede, requiring a nuanced approach to resource allocation and prevention strategies.

Caernarfon’s crime rate in September 2025 dropped by 9.0% compared to August, falling from 13.3 to 12.1 per 1,000 residents. This slight decline, while modest, suggests a potential stabilization in the area’s crime trajectory. On a daily basis, the built-up area recorded an average of four crimes per day in September, a figure that translates to roughly one reported crime for every 83 residents over the course of the month. While this monthly exposure rate is higher than the UK average, it provides a tangible measure of how frequently residents might encounter crime in their daily lives. The population context further highlights the disparity: with 10,116 residents, the absolute number of crimes (122) may seem manageable, but the rate per capita places Caernarfon firmly in the upper echelon of UK areas. The rate of violence and sexual offences (3.5 per 1,000) and shoplifting (2.7 per 1,000) far exceed national benchmarks, indicating systemic challenges that require tailored solutions. These figures, when viewed alongside the previous month’s data, suggest that while some categories are improving, others remain stubbornly elevated. The contrast between the drop in public order offences and the rise in drug-related crimes also raises questions about shifting patterns of criminal activity. For residents, the daily crime count and monthly exposure rate offer concrete insights into the likelihood of encountering crime, even as broader trends reveal a complex picture of local and national influences.