Emsworth Crime Rate October 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Emsworth's crime profile in October 2024 reveals a distinct balance between violent and property crimes, shaped by the area's character as a small built-up town within Havant. The overall crime rate of 4.0 per 1,000 residents places the area 50.6% below the UK average of 8.1, a gap that reflects both local demographics and seasonal factors. The most prevalent crime category was violence and sexual offences, contributing 30.6% of the total, followed by anti-social behaviour (16.3%) and vehicle crime (12.2%). This mix suggests a community where interpersonal conflicts and minor disturbances are more common than major property crimes, likely influenced by the area's compact residential layout and limited commercial density. The seasonal context of October—shorter daylight hours, the clocks going back, and Halloween—may have contributed to the higher proportion of anti-social behaviour, which often rises during periods of reduced visibility and increased social gatherings. Vehicle crime remains a consistent concern, with a rate of 0.5 per 1,000, slightly above the UK average. This could be linked to the town's proximity to major transport routes or the presence of parked vehicles in residential areas. Meanwhile, the relatively low incidence of burglary (0.3 per 1,000) and criminal damage (0.3 per 1,000) suggests that Emsworth's built-up nature, with its mix of single-family homes and semi-detached housing, may offer a degree of physical security against more severe property crimes. The data also highlights a significant disparity in specific categories: bicycle theft is 275% above the UK average, reflecting the area's cycling infrastructure and local events that attract riders. This balance of crime types illustrates a community where everyday interactions and minor incidents dominate, rather than large-scale criminal activity.

October 2024 saw notable shifts in Emsworth's crime mix, with anti-social behaviour surging by 166.7% (3 → 8) and burglary jumping 200% (1 → 3). These increases may be linked to seasonal factors such as Halloween, which often coincides with higher levels of public disorder, or to the town's proximity to schools and community hubs that see increased foot traffic during this time. Conversely, other theft fell sharply by 58.3% (12 → 5), possibly due to improved security measures in local businesses or a seasonal lull in retail crime. The area's bicycle theft rate remains strikingly elevated at 275% above the UK average (0.3 vs 0.1 per 1,000), a figure that could be explained by the presence of dedicated cycling lanes and the popularity of cycling among local residents. Meanwhile, vehicle crime (0.5 per 1,000) is slightly above the UK average (0.5 per 1,000), suggesting that while not a major issue, it remains a persistent concern for residents parking in open spaces. The most significant UK comparison discrepancy lies in violence and sexual offences, which are 55% below the national average (1.2 vs 2.7 per 1,000), a figure that may reflect Emsworth's relatively stable community dynamics and limited exposure to high-risk environments. Residents might find the 30.6% share of violence and sexual offences in the overall crime mix particularly relevant, as it indicates that interpersonal conflicts are the primary driver of crime in the area.

Emsworth's crime rate in October 2024 (4.0 per 1,000) marked a 19.8% decrease from the previous month's rate of 5.0 per 1,000, a decline that aligns with the typical seasonal dip in crime seen in many UK towns as the summer social calendar wanes. Over the course of the month, this translated to an average of 2 crimes reported per day—a figure that, when scaled to the area's population of 12,182 residents, means that one reported crime occurred for roughly every 249 residents. This monthly exposure rate is significantly lower than the UK average, which typically sees one crime per 123 residents. The drop in overall crime may be attributed to a combination of factors, including the transition into autumn, which often sees reduced outdoor activity, and the implementation of local initiatives such as increased police patrols during key events like Halloween. However, the increase in anti-social behaviour and burglary suggests that while the overall trend is downward, certain pockets of the community may still be experiencing heightened tensions or vulnerabilities. The daily crime count provides a tangible measure for residents: if the same rate persisted, a typical resident could expect to encounter a crime roughly once every 250 days. This statistic, while low, underscores the importance of maintaining community vigilance and targeted interventions to prevent the few incidents that do occur from escalating.