Emsworth Crime Rate September 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Emsworth's crime rate of 5.0 per 1,000 in September 2024 places it 35.1% below the UK average of 7.7, marking one of the lowest rates nationally for a built-up area. This performance contrasts sharply with the UK's overall trend, where property crime typically dominates. In Emsworth, violence and sexual offences accounted for 34.4% of all reported crimes, followed by other theft (19.7%) and bicycle theft (9.8%). The area's relatively low violent crime rate compared to the UK average (2.6 per 1,000 for violence vs 2.6 per 1,000 nationally) suggests effective community policing or a lower prevalence of high-risk demographics. September's seasonal context—back-to-school periods and university freshers—may explain the surge in bicycle theft and shoplifting, though these trends remain below UK averages for those categories. The area's built-up character within Havant, likely featuring a mix of residential and commercial zones, may contribute to its distinct crime profile, with property crimes balanced against targeted thefts. While the overall crime rate is lower than the UK average, specific categories like bicycle theft (456% above the UK average) highlight vulnerabilities tied to local infrastructure or commuter patterns. These findings underscore the importance of contextual analysis rather than broad generalisations about Emsworth's safety.

September saw dramatic shifts in crime patterns, with bicycle theft and shoplifting both surging by 200% compared to August, likely linked to increased cycling during the back-to-school period and retail activity. This contrasts with an 80% decline in burglary, potentially reflecting improved security measures or seasonal changes in residential activity. Other theft, though remaining below the UK average, was 89% higher than the national rate, suggesting a unique local dynamic in targeted property crimes. The significant drop in anti-social behaviour (57.1%) and public order offences (66.7%) may indicate the impact of targeted interventions or the return of students to structured environments. Robbery—a category with no UK average comparison—doubled from zero to one incident, highlighting the unpredictable nature of violent crime. These fluctuations demonstrate how specific events or initiatives can shape crime trends, even within a low-crime area. The sharp rise in bicycle theft, despite a UK-wide decline in the category, points to Emsworth's particular vulnerabilities, tied to its proximity to commuter routes or cycling infrastructure. Such data underscores the need for tailored approaches to crime prevention that account for local circumstances.

Emsworth's crime rate fell 17.5% from 6.1 per 1,000 in August to 5.0 per 1,000 in September, reflecting a sustained trend of below-average crime levels. This decline, combined with the area's consistent performance relative to the UK, suggests a stable and effective local policing model. On a daily basis, the area recorded approximately 2 crimes per day in September, a figure that, while low, highlights the need for vigilance in maintaining this trajectory. When scaled to the population of 12,182 residents, this translates to one reported crime occurring for roughly every 200 residents over the course of the month—a rate significantly lower than the UK average. The monthly exposure metric provides a tangible benchmark for residents: in any given month, the likelihood of being directly affected by crime is markedly reduced compared to the national picture. This context is particularly relevant for families and commuters, who may perceive Emsworth as a safer alternative to larger urban centres. However, the stark disparities in specific crime categories—such as the 456% gap in bicycle theft—remind us that low overall rates can coexist with unique challenges. These comparisons reinforce the value of granular data in understanding both the strengths and vulnerabilities of Emsworth's crime profile.