Horndean Crime Rate September 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Horndean's September 2023 crime rate of 4.6 per 1,000 residents placed the area 42.5% below the UK average of 8.0 per 1,000, reflecting a consistently safer environment compared to national benchmarks. The most prevalent crime category was violence and sexual offences, accounting for 41.5% of all reported incidents, followed by other theft (14.5%) and public order offences (13.2%). This distribution suggests a mix of localised issues and broader societal trends, with the high proportion of violent crime possibly linked to the area's population demographics and seasonal factors such as the return to school and university freshers' week. The crime rate's seasonal context is particularly noteworthy: as September marks the end of summer and the beginning of the academic year, the data aligns with patterns observed in similar built-up areas, where crime tends to fluctuate with shifts in population movement and outdoor activity. While the overall rate remained stable, the breakdown shows a notable divergence from the UK average in certain categories—violence and sexual offences were 31% below the national average, while anti-social behaviour was 78% below. These figures highlight Horndean's unique position within the UK's crime profile, where targeted policing efforts or community characteristics may contribute to lower rates of specific offences. The relatively low levels of property crime, particularly vehicle crime (0.4 per 1,000) and burglary (0.2 per 1,000), both significantly below the UK average, suggest effective local measures in preventing theft and vandalism. However, the 17% increase in other theft compared to the UK average indicates a need for continued vigilance in addressing this category. The seasonal context of September—characterised by the transition from summer to autumn, with schools and universities resuming their academic calendars—may have influenced the observed patterns, as increased foot traffic and social gatherings could contribute to both higher and lower crime rates depending on the specific offence type. Overall, Horndean's crime profile in September 2023 illustrates a combination of local factors, national trends, and seasonal dynamics, with the area maintaining its position as a relatively low-crime built-up area within Havant.

September 2023 saw a significant 200% increase in drug-related crimes, rising from 1 to 3 incidents. This surge may be linked to the back-to-school period, which often coincides with heightened substance use among students. Conversely, criminal damage and arson dropped by 61.1%, from 18 to 7 incidents, a decline consistent with the reduction in summer-related vandalism. Vehicle crime also rose sharply, increasing by 85.7% to 13 incidents, likely driven by increased traffic during the transition to autumn. Violence and sexual offences remained the most prevalent category (41.5% of all crimes), but their rate of 1.9 per 1,000 was 31% below the UK average. Meanwhile, anti-social behaviour fell by 28.6%, from 14 to 10 incidents, suggesting a possible response to local policing initiatives or seasonal shifts in community activity. These changes illustrate the dynamic nature of crime patterns in Horndean, influenced by both local factors and broader national trends.

Horndean's crime rate in September 2023 (4.6 per 1,000) marked a 19.3% decrease from the previous month's rate of 5.7 per 1,000. This decline aligns with a broader trend observed in the built-up area's seasonal patterns, where crime typically moderates as the summer tourist season wanes. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 5 crimes per day in September, a figure that, while modest, reflects the persistent presence of local criminal activity. When scaled to the population, the monthly exposure rate of 1 reported crime for every 219 residents underscores the relatively low risk faced by Horndean's residents compared to the UK average. This statistic provides a tangible measure of safety, illustrating that most residents are unlikely to encounter crime in any given month. The shift from August to September also highlights the influence of seasonal transitions, as the return to routine after summer holidays may contribute to the observed stability in crime levels.