Horndean Crime Rate October 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Horndean’s crime rate for October 2023 remained significantly below the UK average, at 4.4 per 1,000 residents—45% lower than the national figure of 8.0 per 1,000. This continued trend reflects the area’s character as a relatively low-crime built-up district within Havant, where community infrastructure and local policing likely contribute to sustained safety. Violence and sexual offences accounted for the largest share of reported crimes (37.8%), followed by other theft (14.9%) and criminal damage and arson (10.1%). These figures align with patterns seen in similar commuter-oriented suburbs, where property crimes and personal safety incidents dominate. Seasonal factors in October—shorter days, the transition from autumn to winter, and Halloween—may have influenced crime dynamics, particularly in the rise of vandalism and arson. However, the overall stability in crime rates suggests that local measures, such as well-lit public spaces and active community engagement, may be effective in maintaining safety. The data also reveals that while violent crime remains a concern, it is lower than the UK average, with violent offences at 1.7 per 1,000 compared to the national rate of 2.7 per 1,000. This disparity could be attributed to Horndean’s demographic profile, which may include a higher proportion of families and a lower density of nightlife venues compared to larger urban centres. The relatively low levels of public order offences (0.4 per 1,000) and anti-social behaviour (0.2 per 1,000) further support the area’s reputation as a quiet, family-friendly neighbourhood. These findings highlight the importance of maintaining current initiatives that foster community cohesion and address localized risks, ensuring that Horndean’s safety record continues to outperform national benchmarks.

October 2023 saw a sharp rise in criminal damage and arson, with cases increasing by 114.3% compared to the previous month. This surge, from seven to 15 incidents, suggests a possible link to seasonal factors such as Halloween, where increased outdoor activity and darker evenings may create opportunities for such crimes. Robbery also doubled, with four incidents reported—a stark contrast to the previous month’s zero. This spike, though small in absolute terms, warrants attention, particularly in areas with high foot traffic or commercial activity. Conversely, vehicle crime dropped by 53.8%, likely due to reduced daylight hours deterring opportunistic thefts. Anti-social behaviour also fell by 50%, possibly reflecting community efforts or seasonal changes in social gatherings. Other theft remains 13% above the UK average, indicating a persistent challenge in this category. Residents should remain vigilant, particularly in areas prone to vandalism and in locations with higher concentrations of parked vehicles.

Horndean’s crime rate in October 2023 remained slightly lower than the previous month, falling by 2.6% to 4.4 per 1,000 residents from 4.6 per 1,000 in September. This small decline aligns with broader trends observed in similar built-up areas, where seasonal transitions and reduced daylight hours often correlate with modest fluctuations in reported crimes. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately five crimes per day over the 31-day period, a figure that, while low, underscores the need for consistent community vigilance. When scaled to the population, the monthly exposure rate of one reported crime for every 225 residents highlights the relatively low risk compared to larger urban centres. This statistic, however, should be contextualised within Horndean’s character as a compact, mixed-use area with a strong residential presence, where community cohesion may play a role in mitigating crime. The local population of 33,300 means that even minor shifts in crime patterns can have noticeable impacts on individual residents, reinforcing the importance of localised data in shaping public awareness and policing priorities.