Horndean Crime Rate November 2023 | Monthly Statistics

For every 1,000 residents in Horndean, 4.9 crimes were reported in November 2023 — a rate 34.7% below the UK average of 7.5 per 1,000. This translates to roughly one reported crime for every 204 residents over the course of the month, a figure that contextualises risk in everyday terms. The most common crimes were violence and sexual offences (42.9% of total), followed by other theft (12.3%) and anti-social behaviour (9.8%). These patterns align with seasonal factors: the month included Bonfire Night, which can heighten tensions in close-knit communities, and Black Friday shopping, which may contribute to retail-related theft. However, the area’s crime profile contrasts sharply with national trends — violent crime in Horndean is 19% below the UK average, and anti-social behaviour is 52% below. This could reflect the area’s character as a relatively small, built-up area within Havant, where community cohesion and local policing efforts may mitigate some risks. Vehicle crime — often linked to commuter parking areas — remained 40% below the UK average, suggesting that car-related thefts are not a major concern in this part of the country. While the overall rate is low, the increase in anti-social behaviour and shoplifting may indicate shifts in local dynamics, such as the impact of extended evenings or temporary spikes in foot traffic during festive events. The data underscores that while Horndean is generally safer than the UK average, targeted vigilance in specific areas may still be warranted.

November 2023 saw significant month-on-month changes in crime patterns. Anti-social behaviour surged by 220%, rising from five incidents to 16 — a jump that may reflect the impact of dark evenings and seasonal gatherings. Shoplifting also increased sharply, doubling from two to six cases, potentially linked to Black Friday promotions drawing more visitors to local stores. Vehicle crime rose by 83.3%, from six to 11, though this remains 40% below the UK average. Conversely, drug-related offences fell by 50%, and possession of weapons dropped by the same margin, suggesting possible reductions in illicit activity or increased enforcement. The crime mix also shifted: violent crimes accounted for 42.9% of all incidents, a proportion that aligns with the UK average (2.6 per 1,000) but is 19% below the national figure. This balance between property and violent crime is noteworthy — while violent crime remains a concern, the overall rate of property crime (59 incidents) is lower than the UK average. For residents, the most immediately relevant statistic is the 220% rise in anti-social behaviour, which could indicate a need for heightened community engagement or local policing in areas where such incidents are concentrated. a direct cause, but the timing with Bonfire Night suggests seasonal factors may play a role.

Horndean’s crime rate in November 2023 (4.9 per 1,000) was 10.1% higher than the previous month’s rate of 4.4 per 1,000, though it remains well below the UK average. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately five crimes per day — a figure that, while seemingly high, is distributed across a population of 33,300. When scaled to individual risk, this means that over the course of the month, one resident in every 204 reported a crime. This monthly exposure metric provides a tangible sense of risk: for someone living in Horndean, the chance of being directly affected by a crime is relatively low compared to the national average. However, the increase from October to November suggests that seasonal factors — such as darker evenings and the timing of Bonfire Night — may temporarily elevate certain types of crime. The area’s population size also plays a role: with 33,300 residents, the impact of 163 crimes is diluted compared to smaller communities, though this does not eliminate the need for local awareness. The UK average of 7.5 crimes per 1,000 residents includes a broader mix of urban and rural areas, whereas Horndean’s built-up nature likely contributes to its lower rate of property crimes like burglary and vehicle theft. These comparisons highlight that while Horndean is safer than the UK average, the month-on-month rise in anti-social behaviour and shoplifting indicates that local conditions can still influence crime patterns in meaningful ways.