Horndean Crime Rate December 2023 | Monthly Statistics

For a population of 33,300, Horndean recorded 136 crimes in December 2023, translating to a crime rate of 4.1 per 1,000 residents. This figure is 43.1% below the UK average of 7.2 per 1,000, highlighting a safer environment compared to the national picture. The most common crimes were violence and sexual offences (36.8% of total), followed by other theft (16.2%) and anti-social behaviour (11.8%). These patterns align with seasonal factors typical for December, when extended evenings and holiday-related activity may influence crime dynamics. The lower-than-average rates for violent crime—specifically violence and sexual offences, which are 43% below the UK average—suggest effective local measures or demographic factors that reduce conflict in the area. However, the presence of 50 violent crimes still indicates a need for targeted interventions, particularly given the high proportion of such incidents relative to other crime types. Property crimes, including burglary and vehicle crime, remained below UK averages, possibly reflecting the area’s character as a built-up area within Havant, where residential density might limit opportunities for such crimes. The seasonal context of December—dark evenings, Christmas shopping, and holiday gatherings—likely contributes to fluctuations in crime types, with public order and anti-social behaviour incidents rising due to increased social interactions. While the overall rate is reassuring, the persistent presence of violent crimes underscores the importance of community policing and support services in maintaining safety.

December 2023 saw a 28.6% decrease in violence and sexual offences, dropping from 70 to 50 incidents, a shift that may reflect seasonal changes or community initiatives. Vehicle crime fell by 36.4% (11 to 7), possibly due to reduced traffic during holiday periods or improved vehicle security measures. Conversely, theft from the person increased by 100%, rising from 0 to 1 incident, a rare spike that could indicate targeted opportunistic crime during festive crowds. Other notable shifts include a 50% rise in drugs-related incidents (2 to 3) and possession of weapons (2 to 3), suggesting potential challenges in addressing substance misuse or illicit activities. The category of other theft (16 incidents) is 19% above the UK average, indicating a localised trend that may be linked to specific retail or residential vulnerabilities. Anti-social behaviour, at 16 incidents, is 46% below the UK average, reflecting the area’s community cohesion or effective local enforcement. These variations highlight the need for nuanced strategies, such as targeted patrols during peak hours or collaboration with local businesses to address specific risks.

Horndean’s crime rate of 4.1 per 1,000 in December 2023 represents a 16.6% decrease from the previous month’s rate of 4.9, indicating a downward trend over the final month of the year. On a daily basis, the area experienced roughly 4 crimes per day, a figure that, while relatively low, remains a reminder of the need for vigilance. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for every 245 residents, a monthly exposure rate that is significantly lower than the UK average. This statistic offers residents a tangible sense of the likelihood of encountering crime in their daily lives, with the 1-in-245 ratio underscoring the area’s relative safety. When scaled to the population of 33,300, the 136 crimes represent a manageable burden compared to larger urban centres, though the 50 violent crimes still highlight a focus area for local authorities. The comparison to the UK average reinforces Horndean’s position as a safer-than-average area, particularly in categories such as anti-social behaviour and vehicle crime, where rates are 46% and 56% below national levels, respectively. This contrast with the 19% above average for other theft suggests a combination of local factors, such as the presence of commercial areas or specific community dynamics, that may influence crime patterns.