Horndean Crime Rate January 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Horndean’s January 2024 crime rate of 4.9 per 1,000 residents marked a 33.8% deficit compared to the UK average of 7.4 per 1,000, underscoring the area’s generally low crime profile. The most prevalent crime type was violence and sexual offences, accounting for 41.4% of all incidents (67 cases), though this category remained 23% below the UK average. Shoplifting (13 cases) and vehicle crime (13 cases) each contributed 8.0% of total crimes, with both categories significantly below national rates. The seasonal context of January—a post-holiday period with reduced retail footfall and shorter daylight hours—may have influenced the lower incidence of outdoor crimes. However, the unexpected 500% rise in 'Other crime' (from 1 to 6 cases) stands out as an anomaly, potentially reflecting unclassified or emerging offences not typically tracked in standard categories. This shift contrasts with the usual pattern of seasonal crime fluctuations, where violent crimes often peak during winter months. The area’s built-up nature within Havant, combined with its proximity to coastal and commuter routes, may explain the persistence of property-related offences, though the overall rate remains well below the UK average. The low levels of anti-social behaviour (11 cases, 6.8% of total) and public order offences (11 cases, 6.8% of total) further suggest a community with relatively stable social dynamics. While the increase in 'Other crime' requires further analysis, the broader trend of lower crime rates compared to the UK highlights the effectiveness of local policing or community initiatives in maintaining safety.

The most striking change in January 2024 was a 500% surge in 'Other crime,' rising from one to six incidents—a spike that defies typical seasonal trends. This category, which includes unclassified or emerging offences, now accounts for 3.7% of total crimes, though its UK average remains low at 0.1 per 1,000. Concurrently, shoplifting increased by 116.7% (6 to 13 incidents), aligning with a 30% UK deficit in this category. Bicycle theft also rose by 100%, from zero to one incident, a rare occurrence in the area. Conversely, other theft and anti-social behaviour fell by 40.9% and 31.3%, respectively, possibly linked to reduced public activity during colder weather. The violent crime category, at 67 incidents (41.4% of total), remained 23% below the UK average for violence and sexual offences, suggesting the area’s community dynamics may contribute to lower levels of violent crime compared to national trends.

Horndean’s crime rate in January 2024 rose by 19.1% compared to the previous month’s 4.1 per 1,000 residents, reaching 4.9 per 1,000. This increase, while notable, remains significantly below the UK average of 7.4 per 1,000. Locally, the daily crime count averaged approximately five incidents per day over the 31-day period, translating to one reported crime for every 206 residents during the month. This monthly exposure figure provides context for residents, showing that the likelihood of experiencing a crime is relatively low compared to national benchmarks. The shift from December’s rate may reflect seasonal patterns, such as the post-holiday period’s impact on retail activity or changes in community behavior during shorter daylight hours. While the overall rate is still well below the UK average, the upward trend warrants attention to factors like community engagement or targeted policing efforts.