Horndean Crime Rate September 2024 | Monthly Statistics

September 2024 marked a continuation of Horndean's consistently low crime rate, with a figure of 5.0 crimes per 1,000 residents—35.1% below the UK average of 7.7. This performance, while modest in absolute terms, places the area in stark contrast to national trends, particularly in categories such as violence and sexual offences, which accounted for 41% of all reported crimes. These incidents, though significant in volume, occurred at a rate of 2.0 per 1,000 residents, 24% below the UK average. The seasonal context of September, with its back-to-school transitions and the onset of shorter evenings, may have influenced patterns of activity, potentially reducing opportunities for certain types of crime. Conversely, property-related offences such as criminal damage and arson (0.5 per 1,000) and vehicle crime (0.5 per 1,000) reflected a balance between local factors and national benchmarks. The area's built-up character within Havant likely plays a role in this dynamic, with proximity to urban amenities and commuter pathways shaping the distribution of crimes. Anti-social behaviour remained exceptionally low, with a 74% gap between Horndean's rate (0.3 per 1,000) and the UK average (1.2 per 1,000), suggesting a community environment where social cohesion may act as a mitigating factor. This month's data further underscores the importance of seasonal rhythms in shaping crime patterns, with the transition from summer to autumn likely influencing both perpetrator and victim behaviour.

September 2024 saw a notable 47.6% decrease in other thefts, with incidents falling from 21 to 11. This decline, alongside an 18.8% reduction in public order offences, suggests a shift in crime mix towards property-related incidents, particularly vehicle crime, which remained at the UK average. However, two specific categories saw sharp increases: theft from the person and robbery, both rising by 100% from zero to one incident each. These spikes, though isolated, highlight the vulnerability of residents during transitional periods such as back-to-school weeks. Burglary also rose by 37.5%, from 8 to 11 incidents, a trend that may be linked to the autumn season's impact on property security. Violence and sexual offences remained low compared to the UK average, with a 24% gap between Horndean's rate (2.0 per 1,000) and the national figure (2.6 per 1,000). This contrast reinforces the area's relative safety in violent crime, even as property crime rates align more closely with broader trends.

Horndean's crime rate in September 2024 (5.0 per 1,000 residents) represents a 3.7% decrease from the previous month's rate of 5.2 per 1,000. This decline aligns with broader patterns observed in the area during the autumn transition, where reduced outdoor activity and the onset of school terms may contribute to lower crime exposure. On a daily basis, the area experienced an average of six reported crimes per day in September, a figure that, while localised, provides a tangible sense of monthly activity. Over the course of the month, one crime was reported for roughly every 201 residents, a ratio that contextualises the scale of incidents relative to the population of 33,300. This monthly exposure rate, though modest, reflects the balance between community policing efforts and the dynamics of a built-up area within a larger commuter town. The population-scaled perspective underscores that while Horndean's crime rate remains well below the UK average, localised factors such as the proximity to Havant's urban core and seasonal shifts continue to shape the crime profile.