Horndean Crime Rate October 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Horndean's crime rate in October 2024 remained 55.6% below the UK average of 8.1 per 1,000, with a total of 121 crimes recorded across the built-up area. The most prevalent crime category was violence and sexual offences, accounting for 31.4% of all reported incidents (38 cases), followed by shoplifting (19.0%, 23 cases) and criminal damage and arson (12.4%, 15 cases). These figures reflect a consistent trend of lower-than-average crime levels in Horndean, which is likely influenced by its relatively low population density and the presence of community-focused policing initiatives. Seasonal factors also appear to play a role, with the transition to darker evenings in October potentially contributing to an uptick in violent crimes, as evidenced by the 38 reported incidents. The area's crime profile is further shaped by its suburban character, where retail premises and residential areas coexist, creating a mixed environment that may influence the distribution of property and violent crimes. Violent crime rates in Horndean are 59% below the UK average (2.7 per 1,000), while shoplifting rates are only 3% below the national average (0.7 per 1,000). This suggests that while local efforts to deter violent crime may be effective, the area remains vulnerable to property-related offences that are more common in similar-sized communities. The seasonal context of October—marked by shorter daylight hours and the Halloween period—may have contributed to a slight increase in anti-social behaviour and other crimes typically associated with evening activity. Residents are advised to remain vigilant, particularly in areas with high foot traffic and during the late evening hours.

October 2024 saw a significant 91.7% increase in shoplifting compared to September, with 23 incidents reported. This sharp rise may be linked to the Halloween season, which typically sees an uptick in retail activity and, consequently, thefts. Bicycle theft also rose by 100% (from 0 to 1 incident), a figure that, while small, highlights the need for residents to secure personal property in public spaces. Conversely, public order offences fell by 61.5% (from 13 to 5), possibly due to increased community engagement or the impact of local initiatives aimed at reducing anti-social behaviour. The violent crime rate in Horndean (3.6 per 1,000) remains 59% below the UK average (2.7 per 1,000), indicating that the area continues to perform well relative to national trends. However, the increase in shoplifting and the rise in bicycle theft—both of which are not typically associated with violent crime—suggest a shift in the crime mix, with property-related offences becoming more prominent. For residents, the most immediate concern appears to be the rise in shoplifting, which could impact local businesses and necessitate greater vigilance in retail areas. The 100% increase in possession of weapons offences, though based on a single incident, warrants attention, as it may signal a broader trend that requires further monitoring. These findings underscore the importance of community awareness and collaboration with local authorities to address emerging crime patterns effectively.

Horndean's crime rate in October 2024 (3.6 per 1,000) represents a 27.1% decrease from the previous month's rate of 5.0 per 1,000, highlighting a downward trend in overall criminal activity. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 275 residents, a figure that places the area among the safer communities in the UK. On a daily basis, Horndean experienced approximately 4 crimes per day, a rate that is significantly lower than the national average when scaled to the local population. This reduction in crime may be attributed to a combination of factors, including the implementation of targeted policing strategies and the seasonal nature of certain offences, such as shoplifting, which tends to fluctuate with the time of year. The area's population of 33,300 further contextualises these statistics, as the low crime rate per capita underscores the effectiveness of local efforts to maintain public safety. Residents should be mindful that while the overall trend is positive, the increase in shoplifting and bicycle theft suggests that certain vulnerabilities remain, particularly in areas with high foot traffic or during periods of increased commercial activity. The 27.1% monthly decline in crime is a notable achievement, but it is essential to remain vigilant and continue supporting initiatives that contribute to the area's continued safety.