Horndean Crime Rate November 2024 | Monthly Statistics

For every 1,000 residents in Horndean, 5.5 crimes were reported in November 2024 — a figure 27.6% below the UK average of 7.6 per 1,000. This translates to a monthly risk of roughly 1 crime for every 181 residents, a statistic that situates local safety within a national context. The area’s crime profile is dominated by violence and sexual offences (43.5% of total crimes), followed by other theft (10.9%) and shoplifting (10.3%). These patterns align with seasonal rhythms, as November’s extended evenings and events like Black Friday shopping may contribute to increased street-level incidents. Violent crime rates in Horndean (2.4 per 1,000) are 7% below the UK average for the category, suggesting local factors such as community policing or demographic composition may play a role. However, the absence of significant property crime spikes — with burglary at 0.2 per 1,000 (35% below UK average) — contrasts with typical urban trends, hinting at a unique local dynamic. The seasonal context of November, with its combination of festive events and reduced daylight, likely amplifies certain risks while mitigating others, creating a combination of factors that shape the area’s crime picture.

November 2024 saw dramatic shifts in crime patterns, with drug-related offences surging by 1200% compared to October, rising from 1 to 13 incidents. This spike, though not directly tied to seasonal factors, may reflect evolving local challenges. Other crime increased by 400%, jumping from 1 to 5 cases, while other theft rose by 150% (8 to 20). These increases suggest a need for closer attention to emerging issues, particularly given that drugs and other crime now collectively account for 14.6% of total crimes — a notable shift from October’s profile. Conversely, vehicle crime dropped by 70% (10 to 3), possibly linked to reduced commuter activity during the month. Anti-social behaviour remained exceptionally low, at 0.4 per 1,000 (64% below UK average), a figure that may reflect Horndean’s relatively cohesive community structure. Meanwhile, shoplifting decreased by 17.4% (23 to 19), influenced by heightened security measures in retail areas during the Black Friday period. These fluctuations underscore the importance of real-time monitoring, as even small changes in specific categories can have disproportionate impacts on local safety perceptions.

Horndean’s crime rate in November 2024 (5.5 per 1,000) marks a 52.3% increase from the previous month’s 3.6 per 1,000, reflecting a significant upward trend. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 6 crimes per day — a figure that, while modest, highlights the constant presence of criminal activity in a built-up area. When scaled to the population, this equates to one reported crime for every 181 residents over the course of the month, a monthly exposure rate that is lower than the UK average but still requires contextual understanding. The contrast with national trends is stark: while UK averages for anti-social behaviour (1.1 per 1,000) are significantly higher, Horndean’s rate (0.4 per 1,000) suggests a community with lower levels of public disorder. However, the local spike in drug-related crimes (13 cases) — far exceeding the UK average of 0.3 per 1,000 — indicates areas where national benchmarks may not fully capture local realities. This divergence underscores the importance of localized analysis, as the same crime rate can mean different things in different areas depending on population density, policing strategies, and socioeconomic factors.