Horndean Crime Rate December 2024 | Monthly Statistics

For a population of 33,300 residents, Horndean recorded 123 crimes in December 2024, translating to a crime rate of 3.7 per 1,000 people. This figure is 47.9% below the UK average of 7.1 per 1,000, reflecting a consistently safer environment compared to the national trend. The most significant category was violence and sexual offences, accounting for 52.9% of all crimes (65 cases), followed by anti-social behaviour (11.4%) and other theft (6.5%). These patterns align with the area’s character as a built-up district within Havant, where community cohesion and local policing efforts may contribute to lower rates. Seasonal factors in December—such as reduced daylight hours, holiday-related disruptions, and heightened social activity—could influence crime dynamics, though the overall rate remains lower than the UK average. The dominance of violent crime over property crime contrasts with typical urban centres where theft and burglary often dominate, suggesting a unique local profile shaped by demographics and community structures. While Christmas shopping and festive events might typically correlate with higher retail crime, the data shows a marked absence of shoplifting compared to the UK average, with only 5 incidents reported (a 65% deficit). This may indicate effective local measures or a lower retail footprint in the area. The combination of low property crime and higher violent crime rates underscores the need for targeted interventions in addressing interpersonal disputes and public order issues during the holiday season.

December 2024 saw significant shifts in crime patterns compared to November. Vehicle crime surged by 133.3%, rising from 3 to 7 incidents—a sharp increase that may reflect holiday travel or increased vehicle thefts in residential areas. Bicycle theft doubled from 0 to 2 cases, and robbery also doubled from 0 to 1, highlighting vulnerabilities in personal property security during the festive period. Conversely, shoplifting fell by 73.7% (19 to 5 cases), and drugs-related crimes dropped by 76.9% (13 to 3), potentially linked to seasonal changes in illicit activity or successful law enforcement operations. The violent crime category, at 2.0 per 1,000 (52.9% of total crimes), remains 22% below the UK average, suggesting local efforts in reducing aggression and sexual offences may be effective. Anti-social behaviour, at 0.4 per 1,000, is 57% below the UK average, indicating strong community engagement or robust local policing in managing disturbances. Bicycle theft is the only category exceeding the UK average by 100%, a stark contrast to other types of theft. Residents may find the sharp rise in vehicle crime particularly concerning, as it represents a 133% increase in a single month, pointing to a specific vulnerability in the area’s infrastructure or security practices.

Horndean’s crime rate in December 2024 (3.7 per 1,000) marks a 33.3% decrease from November’s rate of 5.5 per 1,000, illustrating a clear downward trend. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 4 crimes per day over the 31-day period, a figure that may appear high in absolute terms but remains well below the UK average when scaled to population size. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for every 271 residents, a monthly exposure rate that is significantly lower than the UK average of roughly one in every 140 residents. This disparity underscores Horndean’s status as a comparatively safer area, particularly when considering the population density and built-up nature of the district. The 33.3% year-on-year decline suggests sustained improvements in crime prevention, possibly supported by local initiatives or increased community vigilance. While the daily crime count may seem alarming, the context of a population of 33,300 means that the likelihood of an individual encountering crime remains low. The combination of a falling overall rate, coupled with specific categories (like anti-social behaviour and shoplifting) performing well below the UK average, highlights a multifaceted approach to crime reduction that extends beyond policing to include social and environmental factors.