Horndean Crime Rate January 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Horndean’s crime rate in January 2025 stood at 4.4 per 1,000 residents, placing it 38% below the UK average of 7.1. This figure underscores the area’s consistently lower-than-average crime profile, a pattern evident across multiple categories. Violence and sexual offences accounted for 46.2% of all crimes, making them the most prevalent category, followed by criminal damage and arson (9.7%) and anti-social behaviour (8.3%). These figures align with the area’s character as a relatively stable built-up area within Havant, where community-focused policing and low population density may contribute to reduced criminal activity. Seasonal factors also play a role: January’s post-holiday period typically sees reduced retail footfall and shorter days, which may partly explain the lower rates of shoplifting and vehicle crime compared to busier months. However, this month’s data reveals an unexpected trend in property crime, particularly burglary, which will be explored further in the highlights section.

The most striking change in January 2025 was the 233.3% increase in burglary, rising from 3 to 10 incidents. This surge, though still below the UK average of 0.3 per 1,000, raises questions about potential vulnerabilities in residential security during the winter months. Concurrently, shoplifting jumped by 120%, with incidents doubling from 5 to 11, possibly linked to seasonal retail closures and reduced staff presence in local stores. Criminal damage and arson also saw a 100% increase, with reports doubling to 14, though this remains significantly below the UK average of 0.5 per 1,000. In contrast, other crime types saw declines: vehicle crime dropped by 28.6% (from 7 to 5), and both drugs (33.3%) and other crime (33.3%) fell. Violence and sexual offences—accounting for nearly half of all crimes—remained 20% below the UK average of 2.5 per 1,000, a figure that may reflect the area’s demographic profile and community engagement initiatives. These shifts highlight the complexity of crime trends, where some categories rise sharply while others stabilize or decline.

Horndean’s crime rate in January 2025 (4.4 per 1,000) marked a 17.9% increase from December 2024’s 3.7 per 1,000, though it remains well below the UK average. This monthly jump translates to roughly 5 crimes per day, a figure that, while modest, underscores the fluctuating nature of local crime patterns. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 230 residents, a rate that is significantly lower than the UK’s broader monthly exposure metrics. This statistic may provide reassurance to local residents, particularly when compared to the UK’s average of 7.1 per 1,000. However, the 17.9% increase from the previous month warrants attention, especially given the sharp rise in burglary. With a population of 33,300, Horndean’s crime profile reflects a balance between its relatively low population density and the challenges of maintaining security in a built-up area with limited policing resources. These figures highlight the importance of localized strategies to address emerging trends, such as the recent spikes in property-related crimes.