February 2026 marked a 22.2% increase in Horndean’s crime rate compared to January, rising from 3.0 to 3.6 per 1,000 residents. Despite this monthly uptick, the area remains 43.8% below the UK average of 6.4 per 1,000, highlighting a persistent gap between local and national crime levels. The most common crimes in February were violence and sexual offences (42.2% of all incidents), followed by anti-social behaviour (13.2%) and criminal damage and arson (9.9%). These figures contrast sharply with UK averages, where violence and sexual offences are 35% higher, and anti-social behaviour is 45% higher. The seasonal context of February—characterised by low outdoor activity and a pre-spring lull—may explain the relatively low rates of property crime, which stood at 3.6 per 1,000, compared to the UK’s 6.4. However, the 43.8% gap between Horndean and the UK average suggests that local factors, such as community cohesion, policing strategies, or demographic characteristics, play a significant role in maintaining lower crime rates. The area’s built-up nature within Havant likely influences crime patterns, with retail and residential zones potentially driving anti-social behaviour and violence. Meanwhile, the low incidence of shoplifting (0.2 per 1,000) compared to the UK average (0.6 per 1,000) may reflect effective local security measures or a smaller retail footprint. Overall, Horndean’s crime profile illustrates a mix of seasonal trends and local resilience, with the area continuing to perform well against national benchmarks despite the monthly rise in certain categories.