Horndean Crime Rate January 2026 | Monthly Statistics

Horndean’s crime profile in January 2026 reveals a mix of expected and surprising patterns, with the most unexpected development being the sharp decline in shoplifting. The area recorded 99 total crimes, translating to a rate of 3.0 per 1,000 residents—55.9% below the UK average of 6.8 per 1,000. Violent crimes (56 incidents) dominated the breakdown, making up 56.6% of all reported offences, though their rate (1.7 per 1,000) remained 32% below the UK average. This suggests that while Horndean is not immune to violent crime, its overall environment—likely shaped by its status as a built-up area within Havant—may contribute to lower rates of severe violence compared to larger urban centres. Property crimes, including burglary and vehicle crime, were also below national averages, with burglary at 0.1 per 1,000 (64% below the UK rate) and vehicle crime at 0.1 per 1,000 (73% below). Seasonal factors likely influenced these trends: January’s post-holiday period and reduced retail activity may have limited opportunities for theft and shoplifting, consistent with the 81.8% drop in shoplifting from the previous month. However, the 100% increase in 'other crime'—a vague category that may include minor offences—raises questions about whether unreported or underreported incidents are being reclassified. The area’s low crime rate overall, combined with its position as a commuter suburb with strong community ties, may explain its consistent underperformance relative to the UK average in multiple categories. Yet the absence of significant spikes in any single crime type suggests that Horndean’s crime picture remains stable, if not improving, despite the need for further analysis of the shoplifting anomaly.

The most striking shift in January 2026 was the 81.8% decrease in shoplifting, which fell from 11 to 2 incidents. This drop, though unexplained by the data, contrasts sharply with the 100% increase in 'other crime'—a category that rose from one to two reports. Violent crimes remained the dominant category, accounting for 56.6% of all incidents, but their rate (1.7 per 1,000) was 32% below the UK average, suggesting local factors may temper violence in this area. Anti-social behaviour and public order offences also showed significant declines, with the former dropping 78% below the UK average. Possession of weapons was the only category exceeding the UK average by 43%, though this remains a small proportion (2.0 per 1,000) of total crimes. For residents, the daily crime rate of three incidents—a figure that includes both violent and property crimes—provides a tangible snapshot of local risk levels.

Horndean's January 2026 crime rate of 3.0 per 1,000 residents marks a 34.4% decrease from the previous month's 4.5 per 1,000. This reduction aligns with seasonal trends typical of January, when reduced retail footfall and shorter daylight hours may limit opportunities for outdoor crimes. Daily crime statistics show an average of three reported incidents per day across Horndean’s 33,300 residents, a figure that reflects the area’s generally low crime profile compared to national averages. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 336 residents—a monthly exposure rate that underscores the relatively safe environment in this built-up area within Havant. While the UK’s overall crime rate remains significantly higher, Horndean’s consistent underperformance relative to national benchmarks in categories like shoplifting and burglary suggests local factors—such as community engagement or policing strategies—may contribute to its lower rates. However, the sharp 81.8% drop in shoplifting from 11 to 2 incidents in January raises questions about whether temporary measures or seasonal patterns played a role.