Carnforth Crime Rate February 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Carnforth’s crime rate in February 2025 stood at 5.6 per 1,000 residents, placing it 16.4% below the UK average of 6.7. This figure, while lower than the national benchmark, reflects a 19.3% increase compared to January 2025, indicating a shift in local crime patterns during the winter months. Violence and sexual offences dominated the crime profile, accounting for 51.6% of all reported incidents, with a rate of 2.9 per 1,000—23% above the UK average. This suggests a persistent challenge in addressing personal safety concerns, particularly in areas with higher foot traffic or social interaction. Anti-social behaviour followed closely, contributing 19.4% of total crimes, though its rate (1.1 per 1,000) was 13% above the UK average. The seasonal context of February—a time of low outdoor activity and a pre-spring lull—may explain the relative stability in property crime compared to violent offences. Shoplifting, which rose sharply by 150% compared to January, highlights a growing concern for retail security, even as the area’s overall rate remains below the national average. The combination of a colder climate and pre-holiday shopping periods may have influenced these trends, though further analysis would be needed to confirm such connections. Carnforth’s crime profile, shaped by its position within the Lancaster district, continues to reflect the interplay between local demographics and seasonal rhythms, with a focus on addressing violent crime and retail theft as key priorities for community safety.

February 2025 saw a sharp 150% increase in shoplifting, with the number of incidents rising from 2 to 5. This surge, though not yet reaching the UK average of 0.6 per 1,000, highlights a growing concern for retail premises in the area. Concurrently, other theft and criminal damage and arson each doubled from zero to one incident, marking a stark departure from January’s figures. These increases may partly explain the overall rise in crime rate despite the area remaining 16.4% below the UK average. Violence and sexual offences, however, remained a persistent issue, with their rate (2.9 per 1,000) 23% above the UK average, a figure that has remained relatively stable month-on-month. Anti-social behaviour, by contrast, fell by 14.3% (from 7 to 6 incidents), suggesting a possible reduction in public order issues during the winter months. For residents, the 150% rise in shoplifting may warrant closer attention to local retail security measures.

Carnforth's crime rate in February 2025 rose by 19.3% compared to January 2025, reflecting a shift from the previous month's rate of 4.7 to 5.6 per 1,000 residents. This increase, though modest in absolute terms, underscores a notable fluctuation in local crime dynamics. On a daily basis, the area recorded roughly one crime per day in February, a figure that, while consistent with historical averages, now sits against a backdrop of rising violent crime and property-related incidents. When scaled to the population, the monthly exposure of one crime for every 178 residents provides context for residents: over the course of the month, a typical Carnforth resident had a 1-in-178 chance of being directly affected by a reported crime. This metric, while not a guarantee of safety, illustrates the relative rarity of crime in the area compared to national averages. The increase in violence and sexual offences, which now exceed the UK average by 23%, contrasts with the decline in anti-social behaviour, suggesting a combination of local factors influencing crime patterns.