Carnforth Crime Rate January 2025 | Monthly Statistics

The most striking development in Carnforth’s crime profile for January 2025 was the 100% increase in bicycle theft, drugs-related crimes, and 'other crime' categories—each of which was previously unreported in December. This unexpected surge, though limited in scale, contrasts sharply with the overall decline in crime across the area. Carnforth’s total crime rate of 4.7 per 1,000 residents, 33.8% below the UK average, reflects a generally low level of criminal activity. The breakdown reveals that violence and sexual offences (10 incidents) account for 38.5% of all crimes, followed by anti-social behaviour (7 incidents) at 26.9%. This pattern aligns with the area’s character as a built-up district within Lancaster, where proximity to rail networks and limited commercial density may influence crime dynamics. Seasonal factors also play a role: January, a post-holiday period with reduced retail footfall and shorter days, may contribute to lower outdoor crimes but could also drive small-scale thefts or drug-related incidents in quieter environments. The violence rate of 1.8 per 1,000 residents is 28% below the UK average, a figure consistent with the area’s relatively compact nature and potential for community policing. However, the 33% above-average rate for anti-social behaviour suggests that local tensions or environmental factors—such as concentrated housing or transient populations—may be at play. The spike in 'other crime' (122% above UK average) highlights the need for clearer categorisation of incidents, as this category encompasses a wide range of unclassified activities. Overall, Carnforth’s crime picture remains low compared to national benchmarks, but the month’s anomalies warrant further analysis.

January 2025 saw a 100% increase in bicycle theft, drugs-related crimes, and 'other crime' categories, all of which were previously unreported in December. This surge, though small in absolute terms, may reflect seasonal shifts in behaviour or increased visibility of cycling during winter months. Conversely, anti-social behaviour and violence and sexual offences both declined sharply—anti-social behaviour dropped by 50% and violence by 28.6%—suggesting a possible reduction in public disorder during January. The area’s violent crime rate of 1.8 per 1,000 residents is 28% below the UK average for this category, but anti-social behaviour is 33% above the national rate, indicating a combination of local factors. 'other crime'—a category that includes unclassified incidents—rose to 122% above the UK average, a figure that may warrant closer attention from local authorities.

Carnforth's crime rate in January 2025 dropped by 31.6% compared to December 2024, falling from 6.9 to 4.7 per 1,000 residents. This decline aligns with the seasonal context of January, a post-holiday period marked by reduced retail activity and shorter daylight hours, which may limit opportunities for certain crimes. On a daily basis, the area recorded approximately one crime per day, a figure that, while low, reflects the small population of 5,508 residents. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for every 212 residents, a monthly exposure rate that underscores the relatively low frequency of crime in the area. When compared to the UK average, this rate is 33.8% lower, suggesting that Carnforth's built-up environment within Lancaster may benefit from local factors such as community cohesion or effective policing strategies. The population-scaled perspective reveals that residents face a significantly lower risk of experiencing crime than the national average, though this may be influenced by the area’s compact size and limited commercial activity.