Caldicot Crime Rate October 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Caldicot's overall crime rate for October 2024 stood at 6.3 per 1,000 residents, marking a 22.2% deficit compared to the UK average of 8.1 per 1,000. This figure reflects a relatively safe environment, though specific crime patterns warrant closer attention. Violence and sexual offences accounted for 35.5% of all reported crimes (22 incidents), followed by anti-social behaviour (19.4%, 12 incidents) and public order offences (11.3%, 7 incidents). These figures align with seasonal trends typical of October, a month marked by shorter daylight hours and the Halloween period, which may contribute to increased public order issues and alcohol-related incidents in local gathering spots. The area's lower-than-average violent crime rate—2.2 per 1,000 compared to the UK's 2.7 per 1,000—suggests that community policing efforts or local social dynamics may be playing a role in mitigating aggression. However, the rise in vehicle crime and the emergence of new theft categories underscore the need for vigilance during this transitional season, particularly as darker evenings extend the time window for opportunistic crimes.

October 2024 saw a stark increase in vehicle crime, surging by 200% from one reported incident in September to three in October. This jump, coupled with the first recorded bicycle theft and robbery of the year, signals a shift in criminal activity that may be influenced by seasonal factors such as reduced visibility and increased vehicle usage during the autumn. While anti-social behaviour decreased by 25% (from 16 to 12 incidents), this reduction does not fully offset the concerning rise in vehicle-related crimes. Public order offences, though relatively low at 7 incidents, exceeded the UK average by 25%, highlighting a potential challenge in managing crowds during events like Halloween. The category of 'other theft'—which includes shoplifting—remained well below the UK average (86% deficit), suggesting that local retail areas may be less targeted than national trends indicate. These fluctuations demonstrate the importance of monitoring specific crime types, as even small increases in vehicle crime can have significant local impacts, particularly for residents who rely on cars for daily commutes or travel.

Caldicot's crime rate for October 2024 (6.3 per 1,000) represents a 4.7% decrease from the previous month's rate of 6.6 per 1,000, indicating a slight downward trend in overall criminal activity. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 2 crimes per day over the 31-day period, a figure that places it among the lower end of the UK's regional spectrum. When scaled to the local population of 9,855 residents, this translates to a monthly exposure rate of 1 reported crime for every 159 residents—a statistic that underscores the relatively low incidence of crime in this built-up area of Monmouthshire. While this rate is lower than the UK average, it is important to contextualise these figures within Caldicot's specific demographic and geographic profile. As a smaller, semi-rural community, the area may benefit from lower population density and fewer high-traffic zones compared to larger urban centres. However, the recent surge in vehicle crime highlights the vulnerability of individual property owners to targeted theft, a concern that may warrant additional local safeguards. These comparisons illustrate both the strengths and challenges of maintaining public safety in a community that is generally safer than the national average but not immune to localized crime trends.