Caldicot Crime Rate November 2024 | Monthly Statistics

For every 1,000 residents in Caldicot, 7.2 crimes were recorded in November 2024—a rate 5.3% below the UK average of 7.6 per 1,000. This figure translates to roughly one crime for every 139 residents over the course of the month. The most common crimes were violence and sexual offences (36.6% of total), anti-social behaviour (21.1%), and criminal damage and arson (14.1%). These patterns align with seasonal rhythms in the area, where November brings shorter evenings and events like Bonfire Night, which may contribute to spikes in anti-social behaviour and property damage. While the overall rate remains lower than the UK average, specific categories show divergence: violence and sexual offences match the national rate exactly, whereas anti-social behaviour is 35% above the UK average. This suggests local factors—such as community dynamics or policing focus—may influence certain crime types differently. The relatively low burglary rate (0.2 per 1,000) contrasts with the UK average, reflecting Caldicot's rural character and lower population density. With 26 violent crimes reported, the area's violent crime rate (2.6 per 1,000) mirrors the UK average, highlighting a balance between local conditions and national trends. As November progresses, the interplay between seasonal events and crime patterns will likely remain a key area for monitoring.

November 2024 saw a 66.7% increase in criminal damage and arson, rising from 6 to 10 incidents. This spike may partly explain the 14.5% overall rate increase compared to the previous month, despite the area remaining below the UK average. Anti-social behaviour also rose by 25%, with 15 incidents reported—35% above the UK average. This category's sharp increase could reflect heightened tensions during darker evenings or the impact of Black Friday shopping activity. Conversely, drug-related crimes fell by 50%, from 2 to 1, a decrease that may indicate targeted policing efforts or shifts in local drug market dynamics. Vehicle crime rose by 33.3% (3 to 4 incidents), though this remains 9% below the UK average. The contrast between rising anti-social behaviour and falling drug crimes illustrates a shifting crime mix, with public order issues becoming more prominent. Shoplifting incidents remained at 1, 86% below the UK average, suggesting that Caldicot's smaller retail presence may limit opportunities for such crimes. These fluctuations highlight the need for ongoing analysis of how seasonal factors and local conditions interact to shape crime trends.

Caldicot's November crime rate of 7.2 per 1,000 residents marks a 14.5% increase from the previous month's 6.3 per 1,000, reflecting a noticeable upward trend. Over the course of the month, this rate translates to approximately two crimes per day—a figure that may feel more tangible to residents. The monthly exposure statistic of one reported crime for every 139 residents provides context for how frequently crime occurs in daily life. With a population of 9,855, this rate suggests that most residents are unlikely to directly experience crime, though the rise in anti-social behaviour and criminal damage indicates areas of concern. The 5.3% gap between Caldicot's rate and the UK average remains significant, though the area's unique characteristics—such as its rural setting and lower population density—may contribute to this divergence. While the UK average includes major urban centres with higher crime rates, Caldicot's proximity to Monmouthshire's natural landscapes and smaller community size could explain its relatively lower overall rate. However, the sharp increase in anti-social behaviour compared to last month highlights the need for targeted interventions in public spaces. Residents may find the daily crime count particularly useful for understanding risk levels, though the monthly exposure figure underscores that most individuals remain unaffected by criminal activity.